- The Finance Gourmet

Baker Hughes Stock Buyback from GE

July 30, 2021 by Finance Gourmet

So, weird little bit of financial news today. There are a couple of moving parts, so let’s get those out of the way first. Last summer in July 2020, GE announced that intended to “fully monetized” its stake in Baker Hughes over the next three years. Fully monetize is lingo for sell. Earlier this year, GE said it sold $1 billion worth of Baker Hughes during the second quarter. GE also announced that it planned to sell another $1.3 billion worth of BKR during the third quarter. That brings us up to date. Baker Hughes announces a $2 billion stock repurchase program In part, the idea behind the share buyback is that Baker Hughes is using some of the profits it has reaped recently thanks to a recovering economy and a carefully controlled quota by OPEC. Buying $2 billion worth of stock would essentially soak up the $2 billion that GE is selling right now. In a world where supply and demand are the only factors that impact a stock’s price, GE’s selling would be pushing the price of BKR down. You can kind of see that in the April to May dip in BKR. Assuming that BKR sold its …

Energy Stocks Up In 2021 Article

January 14, 2021 by Finance Gourmet

As a freelance finance writer, I get a steady feed of financial news stories and articles. I thought I would share this one from investors.com. Headlines Matter A lot of financial writers are under instructions to post something every day, or even several times a day. Under those circumstances, they can’t all be diamonds, but this one about 2021’s runaway sector, is cracking me up. For those of you not paying attention, today is January 14. That just the 9th trading day of the year (New Year’s Day is a holiday, plus weekends). So the sector that’s running away “so far” in 2021 is not exactly a meaningful time period. Why Are Energy Stocks Up? Saudi Arabia announced it would cut production. As the world’s largest oil producer, that is big news to the energy markets and resulted in oil prices rising, even though Russia says that it will increase production because it doesn’t want U.S. shale oil markets benefiting from the higher prices. Whatever higher oil prices happens to trickle through is good news for U.S. oil producers, hence the quick runup in the last few days to make it the “runaway” sector for 2021… so far. My favorite …

Oil Drops Below $50 Again – Now What?

April 21, 2017 by Finance Gourmet

Not long ago, I posted about how oil prices would never see anything near $100 a barrel again, because as soon as prices started climbing above $50 or $60, U.S. producers would crank up previously idled oil fields, and that is just what happened. With OPEC’s oil production cut earlier this year, prices indeed did start rising, and U.S. producers turned the pumps back on. Prices have made it back up in to the fifties. Today, however, prices slipped back below $50 per barrel ahead of a report on U.S. oil rig count that most analysts predict will show even more U.S. production coming online. Couple that with uncertainty about whether OPEC — and Russia — will extend their supply cuts, and you have investors nervous that prices have nowhere to go but down. Oil Prices and U.S. Stock Prices The reality is that, for America, $50 per barrel is a pretty happy medium spot. At $50 per barrel, oil value is high enough for most U.S. producers to make a profit, and for banks to continue feeling good about credit backed by oil reserves. Together, this keeps the stocks of S&P 500 companies like Exxon and Shell and so …

OPEC Deal and the U.S. Stock Market

December 1, 2016 by Finance Gourmet

For the past few years, the strategy of OPEC has been to do nothing while Saudi Arabia pumps oil as fast as it can into the market. The idea was to cripple, or drive out of business, various U.S. oil businesses that depend on more expensive extraction methods such as fracking. With prices low, many of those businesses did indeed go into hibernation and most new drilling was curtailed. However, that still leaves tons of capacity sitting idle, waiting for higher prices before flipping the switch back on. OPEC Deal It has become apparent that overproduction will not drive out U.S. oil businesses. It seems a strong U.S. economy, plus a more disciplined approach to lending and spending has left most American producers able to hold out for higher prices for longer than the cartel may have hoped. As a result, the cheap oil is actually causing more trouble for oil producing countries like Saudi Arabia that depend on oil production to fund their government. So, for the first time in over 7 years, the 14 OPEC countries have reached a deal to reduce production. The new deal calls for a reduction of 1.2 million barrels of oil per day, with …

Are Oil Loans the New Subprime Mortgages

April 12, 2016 by Finance Gourmet

Remember when banks got too greedy with subprime mortgages? Remember when banks (and their executives) just couldn’t say no to the massive earnings (and by extension massive bonuses) that came from building bigger and riskier portfolios of subprime loans? Well, get ready for oil loans. Oil Loans and Bank Risk If you think Wall Street and the big banks learned their lesson from the subprime loan driven banking crisis, you really don’t understand how compensation works in the financial industry. You see, bonuses are paid based on big gains. This encourages risk taking. However, there is no downside for being wrong on those big risks, not even losing some of the bonus you earned earlier in the year. As a result, risk is the name of the game at Wall Street’s big banks. This time, banks rushed to lend money to companies in the oil industry when prices where high. In addition, they extended very generous lines of credit to those same companies on pretty sweet terms. Just like with the subprime mortgage crisis, as long as oil prices didn’t fall too far, too fast, everything would be fine. Deja vu. With oil prices at low levels, and any oil …

Ratings Agency Downgrades British Petroleum

June 15, 2010 by Finance Gourmet

Recently, we talked about how Warren Buffet’s Congressional testimony about Moody’s responsibility for causing the banking crisis and stock market crash by rating collateral mortgage options (CMO) triple-A up until it was already obvious to everyone that these investments were in trouble, was wrong headed. Today, the ratings agencies Fitch and Moody’s gave us all another reason to wonder why we listen to rating agencies at all with its downgrade of British Petroleum. It is not that downgrading BP is incorrect. It is both the timing and the sanctimonious nature of how the downgrades British Petroleum (BP plc – NYSE:BP) stock and debt came about. It has been six weeks since the April 20th explosion on the Deepwater Horizon oil rig and the company’s stock has already fallen over 40% since the incident. Which has been a big hit on Members of Congress are calling for BP to put $20 billion into some sort of escrow fund out of concerns that the company may end up not being able to fully pay its legal obligations resulting from the massive gulf oil spill. Yet, both Moody’s and Fitch’s statements act like their concerns about BP are actually news to anyone. “Today’s …