- The Finance Gourmet

House Child Tax Credit Bill

November 28, 2022August 12, 2022 by Finance Gourmet

Recently, the Democrats passed a bill called the American Rescue Plan Act, that made some changes and updates to the child tax credit. This was quickly spun as either a middle-class tax cut or raising taxes on the poor. It’s weird to see how people can distort what is really happening in order to fit their own agenda. The Child Tax Credit is $3,000 per child between 6 and 17 years old. The Child Tax Credit is $3,600 for each child under 6 years old. Child Tax Credit Basics The child tax credit is a credit. This is different than a tax deduction. A deduction is something that reduces your taxable income. The actual amount you save on your taxes then is a fraction of the amount deducted. For example, if you made $80,000 and you get $20,000 in deductions, then you pay taxes only on $60,000 in income, which means you get only a percentage of that $20,000 in deductions. A credit, on the other hand, is a reduction not in your income, but in your actual tax. So, a $1,000 tax credit means you actually pay $1,000 less in taxes. A credit is much better than a deduction …

Biden’s Capital Gains Tax Increase No Big Deal

April 29, 2021 by Finance Gourmet

President Biden proposed increasing the capital gains tax and while that makes great headlines, it probably isn’t as big of deal as it sounds like. First off, the higher tax would only apply to those with income above $1 million. That takes out most taxpayers right there. Avoiding Capital Gains Taxes Also, capital gains is one of the easiest to avoid taxes. Most people hope to never lose that much money, but there are plenty of losses to be had even by the best investors. Matching those losses up to gains is called tax-loss harvesting and is frequently used by those with large enough investment portfolios to eliminate some or all of their capital gains taxes. Imagine a scenario where a wealthy investor purchases ABC stock and XYZ stock. A clever investor would make sure that ABC stock and XYZ stock pay an acceptable dividend based on their risk and expected return. So, over a couple of years, our investor collects his dividends. Since the only way this new tax applies is if the investor has $1 million in income, they will pay the highest dividend tax bracket of 20% tax on the dividends, still far lower than the 39% …

Stocks Rise on Inauguration Day

January 20, 2021 by Finance Gourmet

Stocks are racing higher here on Inauguration Day. The question, as always, for us non-day traders is whether or not the day’s news and the stock market’s reaction to it is worthy of our time and attention. Why Are Is The Stock Market Higher on Inauguration Day Does the stock market just love Joe Biden? Not really. However, the stock market does love two things about today. One, is that there wasn’t any sort of violence or disturbance that would signal danger to the forthcoming economy. The second, is that with control of all three branches, Democrats are likely to enact at least some form of additional stimulus, which will help prop up the economy, and more importantly, stave off the reckoning of a possible recession. Washington Can Finally Help the Fed Prop Up The Economy As the Federal Reserve Chairman has been saying to anyone that will listen, the economy is actually on very weak footing right now. Sure, the stock market has been rising. However, the market’s optimism has largely been fueled by the idea that an America on its knees from the unchecked spread of Covid-19 has nowhere to go but up. Behind the scenes, however, is …

What Is a Trade War?

November 14, 2016 by Finance Gourmet

As part of his campaign for President, Donald Trump offered up some “tough talk” on China. Specifically, Mr. Trump has advocated for labeling China as a currency manipulator. There is a specific provision U.S. law for what happens to countries labeled as such. Labeling China would trigger those actions. Is Trump right about China currency manipulator status? As with many things in the law, there is a difference between the legal definition, and what is the common reality, if you will. China IS a currency manipulator under pretty much any definition you like, except the one that matters. Typically, a country lets the value of its currency fluctuate based upon market demand. China can, and does, ensure that the value of its currency does not vary outside of of parameters it sets. This is what currency manipulation is. The reason currency manipulation is a problem for America is that usually with a large number of imports, the exporter’s currency will start to increase in value relative to the importer. That makes the exporter’s goods more expensive and the importing country buys less of them. This keeps trade deficits smaller, and on a larger scale, makes the importing country’s own goods …

Trump Election and the Economy

November 9, 2016 by Finance Gourmet

Looks like Donald Trump will be the new President of the United States. Don’t think anyone saw that coming. The polls were way off. The world markets panicked, and it looked like U.S. markets might do the same, but then investors realized what everyone else is slowly figuring out. We don’t actually know what Donald Trump is going to do as President, and whatever it is that he does do, it won’t happen until January 2017, when he gets sworn into office. Even then, this isn’t an instant sort of thing. So, what should investors do regarding a Trump Presidency? As always, long-term investors should do nothing more than confirm that they have the right diversified portfolio setup for their risk tolerance. For shorter-term investors, there might be some increased volatility. The markets hate an unknown, and right now Trump is an unknown. However, there are plenty of things to deal with before that. The holiday shopping season is coming, and how it goes (or seems to be going) is going to be a big indicator for how the economy is doing. Retailers can expect a big boost, or a pretty decent beating depending upon whether holiday spending is up …

Elections and Investing

July 24, 2016 by Finance Gourmet

Here it comes (actually, we’ve been seeing it for a while), the pontification about which U.S. Presidential candidate will help or hurt the American Economy, and by extension, the U.S. Stock market. As you might expect, in the world we currently live in, these articles are tinged, if not rife with, political bias. If you are a Republican, then obviously, the Democratic candidate will destroy the economy and ruin your investments, and vice versa. However, some “neutral” economists and financial journalists will write similar articles. So, how do you know the difference? The reality is that it doesn’t matter as much as everyone likes to pretend. Presidential Reality People love to forget that the U.S. President is not a king. No matter who is elected this November, the reality they inhabit involves a grid locked Congress, among other things. While there is a great deal of power invested in the American President, much of that is policy based. While these decisions will eventually influence the course of American business, such changes will not immediately effect either the economy or the U.S. stock market, both of which are enormous in size and scope. Just like spinning the wheel on a super tanker slowly makes …

Bad News, Politics and Investing

August 18, 2015 by Finance Gourmet

Here it comes… THE SKY IS FALLING! THE SKY IS FALLING! A presidential campaign is officially coming, and unofficially already in full swing. With it comes political ads, ads that make it sound certain that we are doomed, we will be doomed, or we must fix the doom. Are things really that bad? Is Washington really ruining the economy? The answer, as always, is no. Politics and Investing Do Not Mix The reality of America is that everyone, in both parties, wants the same thing: a stronger, better, bullet-proof economy. The only difference is in the ideas on how to get there. Even tougher to follow is that there is not definitive proof that ANY of the political ideas out there do what their followers think they will. Republicans think cutting taxes puts more money in the hands of businesses and consumers which boosts the economy. Democrats think government spending puts more money in the hands of business, while improving society, thereby improving the economy. Who is right? They both are. And, they are both wrong. The key to a strong economy isn’t really political at all. It is cyclical. Go back over the years and you can prove anything …

Job Numbers Good News or Bad News

August 3, 2012 by Finance Gourmet

On Friday, the US Department of Labor released the July non-farm payroll numbers. They showed that employment rose by 163,000 while the unemployment rate was basically the same at 8.3 percent. Of course, this is an election year, which means that within minutes, the airwaves were flooded with spin about how this was good news or bad news, depending upon your political persuasion. Truth in Money How do you tell if the July nonfarm payrolls data is good or bad? Among politicians, talk is cheap. There is no need to be accurate or correct, only to color the perception of the electorate in such a manner that you garner the majority of their votes. In other words, a politician, and their supporting ecosystem of political pundits and talk show hosts have no interest in what the jobs numbers, or other economic data, actually mean. How can you tell when a politician is lying? His lips are moving. In fact, many of them have only the barest of understanding as to what the data actually says. Instead, they have their experts comb through looking for what can be characterized as good or bad and then run with whichever one supports their …

What Does the Election Mean for the Economy?

November 3, 2010 by Finance Gourmet

Republicans Win House, Democrats Keep Senate – Gridlock? Traditionally, Wall Street and big business have favored gridlock in Washington D.C. The idea is that when Republicans and Democrats are busy fighting each other, they can’t be changing the laws and regulations that businesses already know. Theoretically, any currently successful business already knows how to earn money and make a profit under the current laws, but that may not be the case under new legislation that gets passed. The devil you know, is better than the one you don’t — so to speak. But, is political gridlock good for American business this time? Is partisan fighting a good thing or a bad thing for the U.S. economy right now? Is Gridlock Good for The Economy? With the 2010 U.S. economy in a fragile state, and major changes in the form of ending stimulus funds coming in 2011, the difficult question is whether the Republican takeover of the House of Representatives a bad thing for the economy, or is it good for the economy that Democrats have lost the House. The major concern to look for in 2011 is the end of stimulus spending and other U.S. Government spending to bolster the …