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7 Important Things To Look For From the December Stock Market

December 1, 2020 by Finance Gourmet

Here we go. December 1, 2020 is a Tuesday, so the markets already got started on this week yesterday. This December is packed with interesting scenarios, events, and reports for investors. Without further ado, let’s jump into the 7 most important things to look for from the December stock market. Tesla Joins the S&P 500 Over a long enough period, the FOMO (Fear Of Missing Out) at the SP500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average drives some interesting decisions. Some of them prove to be remarkably prescient, others embarrassingly reversed. There is no denying that Tesla dominates news storylines in the automotive industry. Its market capitalization certainly qualifies for inclusion in the central S&P 500 index. On the other hand, Tesla stock is highly volatile, often tied to words its CEO blurts out on Twitter, or based on meeting tight-rope high production goals. More commonly missing those goals but getting credit for being kind of close. What is Rakuten? Joining the S&P 500 will give Tesla stock a new stability that comes from being part of all those market index mutual funds and market index ETFs. At the same time, the company may inject a bit of volatility back into …

7 Deeply Out of Favor Stocks?

November 5, 2020 by Finance Gourmet

Marketwatch is a finance website that survives by cranking out hundreds of articles per day. There isn’t hundreds of articles per day worth of actual financial news out there each day, so there is a bit of filler. Sometimes, I scroll right by. Sometimes, I wonder if a particular bit of financial analysis is legit. Analyzing Financial News Articles Check the person’s track record first Once you’ve been in the financial writing business for a while, you develop some contacts that you can go to for quotes and looks at finances and the stock market. If you have a big enough platform, financial gurus and analysts will come to you for some publicity. All you have to do is fill in the words around their quotes and fire up some graphs. Ironically, what is NOT part of the job is seeing how and when a particular analysts has fared in the past with their predictions. Accountability is not part of the finance writing world. A smart investor starts by seeing what, if anything the finance person has said in the past, and how right, or wrong they were, beyond the flattering, “He picked the last run up in technology stocks!” …

Food Delivery Apps Face Backlash

May 18, 2020 by Finance Gourmet

It looks like food delivery apps, which had previously flown under the radar of scrutiny have overplayed their hands during the pandemic recession. Food Apps Charge Restaurants Huge Fees Restaurants are no strangers to the outrageous fees charged by delivery apps like Grubhub, UberEats, and Door Dash. Restaurant owners can be charged up to 30% of the price of the overall order. This is on top of the fee charged to the customer ordering food. All three apps actively post a laughable “delivery fee.” This amount is displayed predominately and is typically a low number, like $2.99. Then, this fee is often “waived” as part of some sort of promotion, giving the impression that the customer is getting free delivery. The real fee charged for delivery, however, is hidden by combining it in a line called “taxes and fees.” Obviously, the apps hope people don’t pay too much attention to this line. Pandemic Recession and Restaurant Survival Before the pandemic recession hit, customers and lawmakers all had pretty much the same thoughts. If you want to use the delivery services to reach customers, then you have to choose to pay their rates, whatever they are. If the charges were too …

The Big Market Plunge

February 25, 2020 by Finance Gourmet

The stock market has been on increasingly shaky ground over the past several months as valuations raised quickly on dubious fundamentals. When this happens, market get skittish and start looking for any reason to make at least a small correction. That reason popped up this month in the form of the coronavirus. The coronavirus isn’t actually new. Several strains are already very well known both in the U.S. and abroad, but the latest strain seems to spread more quickly and easily than other strains. As fear of an epidemic (justified or not) rise, investors get nervous and start to look for safer investments. See my review of Acorns. While that may not mean wholesale selling out of portfolios it’s easy to see how investors might prune back international investments, and even investments in the United States that depend are harder hit countries like China. What Investors Should Do About the Coronavirus? As always, while any market plunge is scary, a well-crafted, regularly refinanced portfolio is best way to invest for the long-term. One day, the coronavirus will be old news, just like Ebola, and bird flu, and the other scary viruses that have made headlines in the past. When that …

Stock Trends Reversing to the Mean

November 6, 2019 by Finance Gourmet

Nothing makes a financial journalist salivate more than the sweet sound of statistics to make their stock market warning article sound more legitimate. Of course, numerous statistics are meaningless, others are easily cherry-picked based on data, and still others are far less useful or predictive than other statistics that might not say the same thing. Today’s fun example comes courtesy of MarketWatch and the gloomy warning that U.S. Stocks could be in for a world of hurt if this trend reverses to the mean. Check out my Rakuten rebates review. “World of hurt?” – Whew! Pulling hard on our masculine headline click bait phrase dictionary this morning are we? What Is Reversing to the Mean? Reverting to the mean is the statistical probability that for any observation away from the mean, the more likely the next observation will be closer to the mean. An easy way to think of this is if the mean speed of cars passing by on a road is 55 mph, and one goes by at 95 mph, statistically the next card that goes by will do so at a speed closer to the mean than 95 mph, that is 94 mph or less. Obviously, this …

Free Trades

October 3, 2019 by Finance Gourmet

Charles Schwab and TD Ameritrade have both announced that they are eliminating their usual commission for stock, option and ETF trades, to provide free trades to their customers. In the coming days, we may see other discount brokerages follow their lead, in part, or in whole. Until now, most brokerages only offered free trades on select securities, often on company owned mutual funds. For example, Fidelity has a list of mutual funds customers can buy for “free.” Schwab has a similar list. This new move opens up free trades to the world of stocks and options. Trading vs Investing New investors often confuse the concepts of trading and investing. Trading seems exciting and romantic. While it very much can be for the right people, the average person actually needs to be investing for long-term goals, rather than slinging stock trades. For investors building a well-diversified, long-term portfolio high commissions can impose an overhead that diminishes returns. That’s why low-cost brokerages like Schwab and Fidelity are preferred for many do it yourself investors. Zero-cost takes it one step further, providing the opportunity to build, maintain, and re-balance a portfolio without the added overhead of even a low commission. Traders, obviously, will …

Kohls Plus Amazon Equals Stock Bump

April 23, 2019 by Finance Gourmet

Weird story going around in market news today that Kohl’s, the American, brick-and-mortar, clothing / household goods chain has experienced a sizable stock bump over news that it will begin accepting Amazon returns at all of it’s 1,000+ locations. Say what? Traffic Equals Sales Whether you are online, or out here in the real world, when it comes to retail, traffic equals sales. For my online web properties, I earn more income, referral fees, ad sales, or commissions from sites that have more traffic. At Kohl’s, more traffic also equals more sales, and so… As you might guess, there are plenty of people who walk into a Kohl’s store with an Amazon-ordered survival knife to return, get the return setup, and walk right back out without even turning their head to look at what Kohl’s has in stock. But, you can also imagine the guy who walks in with his zombie-killing survival knife return, and notices a well-priced pair of binoculars, a pair of cargo shorts, or even a fun new top for his daughter on the way out. These sort of “drive by” buying impulses are the goal of sales, discounts, and advertising. A customer comes in to get …

Is Southwest Airlines Risking the Company?

March 12, 2019 by Finance Gourmet

Is Southwest Airlines risking the entire company with its decision to keep flying the Boeing 737 MAX airplanes? Consider this: Countries around the world are grounding the Boeing 737 MAX after a second crash soon after take off killed all people aboard an Ethiopian Airlines flight. This includes the European Union, Australia, China and others. Several airlines have similarly grounded their airplanes until all the data is in. Reports today conclude that the CEO of Boeing essentially talked Donald Trump out of grounding the airplanes, action that comes on the heels of large donations to Trump, and corporate visits to Mar Largo. Add this all up, and if a Boeing 737 MAX crashes in the U.S., the world’s most incompetent lawyer will be able to paint a picture of an airline that couldn’t see what numerous other countries and airlines could see. An airline that cared more about profits and using its new airplanes than it did about passenger safety. If that weren’t enough, comments that the airline is “confident” in the safety of the airlines could be considered false statements. False statements that led to deaths. This scenario couldn’t possibly be worse, and the jury verdict would undoubtably and …

Wrong Stock Market Predictions

February 22, 2019 by Finance Gourmet

I read a lot of finance stuff. Most of the time, it’s a lot of the usual advice and tips wrapped up in new clothing. Finance and investing don’t really change that much. The exception is taxes, which change at least a little bit every year due to new tax court decisions, and the adjustments made to many tax numbers automatically each year due inflation. I keep reading about finance and investing both to keep my skills and knowledge sharp, and unfortunately, also to have some knowledge of whatever the latest finance and investing fads are. Investing for the long-term with a well diversified portfolio is the “eat less calories, burn more calories,” of finance. Everything else is a gimmick to achieve the same, while making is sound better (and easier). Tony Robbins Merchants of Doom I’m currently reading Tony Robbins’ Unshakeable. I like Robbins’ finance books. They repeat a lot of the sound financial advice that has been around for a while, often with a little more flair, and a lot more Tony. That is, Tony likes to name drop, which is fine, because he interviews some of the great minds for his books, but it’s always funny just …

Wild Wall Streets Computer Trading

December 13, 2018 by Finance Gourmet

In the past few days, the stock markets have whipsawed up and down by as much as 800 points, sometimes during the same day! It can be hard to put a finger on what is driving the stock market when the behavior seems so irrational, but the reality is actually pretty easy to understand. The computer programs have been tightened, and they keep firing off, sometimes together, sometimes opposed, and each movement they create triggers another program, which triggers another program, and so on. Program Trading Once upon a time, computer trading was nothing more that the pre-placed buy and sell orders entered by traders. A stop order to sell if the price dropped below a certain amount. A buy order if the price trended up. Those trades have been replaced by more sophisticated programs run by everyone from big Wall Street banks and brokers, to hedge funds, to so-called quant mutual funds. These programs fire off hundreds, or even thousands of orders in response to pre-defined market triggers. Is there a Credit Karma scam? Get the markets leaning too far, and they start kicking in, often triggering other programs in the process. The result is seemingly bizarre trading patterns, …