Stocks! China! Trade Deal!

Stocks! China! Trade Deal! 1

The Trump presidency has been nothing if unpredictable. The President seems to wake up with new tweets on his mind every day, and the markets love overreacting to every one. The result is a stunning whip shaw effect of large market moves up and down, often during the same day. This morning, U.S. Trade representatives said that the new tariffs Trump announced in a tweet on August 1 would be delayed. Some tariffs will be delayed until September 1 and others until December. Does that mean that progress is being made on a trade deal? Only the President knows, although he doesn’t really know either. Depending on how talk show hosts talk over the next few weeks, and what he advisors say, he may or may not think he is getting a good deal. Or getting credit for a good deal. Or maybe just get bored. Long-Term Diversified Portfolio Every financial planner eventually gets tired of beating this drum, but the answer is always the same. A long-term, well-balanced, risk adjusted, annually rebalanced portfolio is the solution to the dramatic, unpredictable moves of the market. Sooner or later, this market will roll over. Although, the tons of analysts “predicting” it …

Read More

Are These The Tariffs You’re Looking For?

tariffs imports markets

OK, so that isn’t a very search engine friendly title for this article, and I don’t really care. The tariffs in Trump’s trade war are starting to make real impacts on certain Americans, and the rest of us may start feeling the effects soon. The most noticeable, immediate impact, is that after a decade as an experienced, professional freelance financial writer, it is now necessary for me to be able to spell the word ‘tariff,’ which up until now never really came up except in examples and edge cases. Generally speaking, tariffs (one r, two f-s) have never been the kind of thing that impacted the middle of Main Street America. Now, I guess we are going big, or going home. In a lot of cases, Trump is shutting the barn door after the horse got out. There used to be real, U.S. manufacturers of solar panels, for example. Not anymore. The companies getting “protection” from Trump’s solar panel tariffs (one r, two f-s) are American, only in the legal sense of subsidies and corporations.  In other cases, maybe something like the steel tariffs could save the few remaining stell companies and mills. The second big impact is now dropping …

Read More