Stock Market Records Is It Time to Buy

Nothing gets the financial press in tizzy quite like a run of “up days” for the stock market. And, nothing gets the mainstream media interested in the financial media’s excitement like a new RECORD! Dow Jones Record High The Dow Jones Industrial Average has notched some record high closes lately. The S&P 500 Index isn’t far behind, within striking distance of its record high as well. So, what do these new stock market records mean for smart investors? First, the recent stock market records are a lesson to be learned for long-term investors such as retirement investors. When the market looked terrifying in  2008 many people sold off stocks in their 401k plans and other retirement savings, often after much of the damage had already been done. That was a foolish strategy then, but now, five years later, those investors are officially the fools. You were better off to have just stayed put. Harsh? Maybe, but if you are investing for retirement or other long-term horizons, this is a critical lesson to learn. In a recent discussion someone said to me that he was sure he did better by getting out when things were bad and getting back in now …

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How Should I Invest $3,000

A recent Money magazine tidbit on Twitter caught my eye. Someone asked how they should invest a small amount, in this case, $3,000. The response suggested a target-date retirement fund. However, I don’t think that is a very good answer in this case, or in most cases. How To Invest a Small Amount When I was a Certified Financial Planner, I would come across people all the time who wanted to know how to invest a small amount. It isn’t hard to see why. We are constantly reminded that we should be saving and investing money. Books like The Richest Man in Babylon (the single best book for beginners in personal finance) extol the virtues of investing some of everything you earn and letting the power of compound interest turn that on-going investment into millions of dollars. However, this very simple concept is actually very misunderstood. First, remember that compound interest is NOT fast. If you invested that $3,000 and were able to earn 8 percent per year you’d have just $4,408 in five years and $5,141 after a full seven years. That isn’t to say that you shouldn’t invest that money, you should just understand what your realistic expectations …

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Tech Earnings Week

This past week featured the earnings release of several major technology companies, coming closely on the heels of major earnings announcements from other tech companies, including Google and Apple. IBM Earnings First up, IBM reported revenue of $24.7 billion leading to earnings of $2.78 per share. The consensus estimates from analysts were a bit higher for revenue, but a bit lower for earnings per share. The company did raise its full-year earnings guidance, but it wasn’t enough. Investor reaction wasn’t pretty with shares dropping 2.4 percent the following day, and continuing down. The technology giant closed on Tuesday before reporting earnings at 207.31 and closed Friday at just 199.55. IBM’s results have also been blamed for the general downward direction of the markets for the end of the week. Still, IBM has a long history of boosting its share prices, primarily by buying back enormous amount of stock each year. Intel Earnings Intel’s earnings didn’t make investors any happier. The stock has had a pretty good run-up as of late, so anything other than a gangbusters quarter was likely to lead to a poor reaction. Intel shares got it. The stock closed before earnings on Tuesday at 28.48, but finished …

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Apple Stock Paying Dividends

Apple (AAPL) announced that after years of building up a massive pile of cash with its record earnings that it will begin to return some of that money to shareholders. Apple will pay a quarterly dividend of $2.65 per share starting in July. It will also repurchase up to $10 billion in stock over the next three years. So, what does this Apple announcement mean for the stock and for the company? Apple Dividend At first blush, Apple’s announced quarterly dividend seems very large. But, how much is Apple’s dividend? It works out to $10.60 per year. That’s higher than most companies pay out in dividends. However, remember that Apple’s stock price is much higher than most companies. The stock currently trades around $600 per share. That makes the dividend approximately 1.8 percent, which, while respectable, is nothing to write home about. Why did Apple announce a dividend now? There are several reasons that Apple has finally decided to start paying a quarterly dividend after refusing to do so for years. First, and foremost, is that Steve Jobs is no longer around. Apple’s iconic CEO had the street cred to tell people, “No dividend,” no matter how high the companies cash balance got without …

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Stock Market 4th Quarter Turn Around

Sometimes it seems like the stock market is just messing with people. After seemingly running off of a cliff to end the third quarter of 2011, the market has recently staged a rally. Take a look at a chart for the Dow Jones Industrial Average and you’ll see a low point on October 3, 2011. It’s almost like the market wanted to make sure that your third quarter statements looked bad before any sort of upward movement. Of course, there is a long way to go until the end of the year and pressing economic matters like the debt crisis in Europe, the joint budget cutting committee and an unemployment rate that won’t go down are still to be resolved. For the time being, non-day trading investors should remember that short-term movements in the stock market are notoriously difficult to predict. End of Year Portfolio Rebalancing Many experts recommend rebalancing your long-term portfolios like retirement accounts (IRAs, 401k, and other retirement plans) once a year. Traditionally, many people do it near the end of the year. If you haven’t rebalanced your portfolio since last year, it’s a good time to start thinking about doing it soon.

PIMCO Total Return Bond Fund Cuts U.S. Government Holdings

Pimco Total Return is the biggest bond mutual fund in the world. It has a long-term track record that any bond fund would be jealous of. As a result, its fund manager, Bill Gross, has become something of an oracle of investing in bonds. Recently, the mutual fund reported its holdings. Like all mutual fund reporting, the data provides only a snapshot of one day of holdings within the fund. The Wall Street Journal reports that the allocation of assets in the Total Return fund in U.S. Government bonds and securities dropped again to just 12 percent of the overall portfolio, down from 22 percent at the end of 2010. Gross has become increasingly critical of the government’s intervention in the bond market and in particular of the Fed’s action to hold down interest rates by buying U.S. treasuries.  One can understand his frustration as these manipulations make it difficult for a money manager to do his job, regardless of their overall value (or lack thereof) to economic stability and growth. The real irony is that with U.S. treasury yields depressed, and Gross having sold out almost anything he can at the Fed’s inflated pricing, there are few places to …

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Safely Earn More Interest on Your Money

I am always a bit curious when I read a cover story headline like the one on Kiplinger Magazine this month. It says 18 Ways To Earn 5% or More On Your Money. A lot of readers will make an assumption that goes along with that headline that they are talking about low-risk investments or no-risk savings products. After all, it doesn’t take a degree in advanced personal finance to know that there are literally thousands of ways to earn 5% or more on your money. Of course, most of those also come with a way to lose 5% or more on your money too. That is not what the article is about. Instead, this particular article, whose article title inside the magazine is, “Great Rates In A Low-Yield World” manages to give a better clue. The article is NOT about where to open a savings account to earn 5% or more. It is about how to get 5% YIELD on your investment. That is, 5+ percent as income, and not counting losses on invested capital. Real Earnings Are About More Than Dividends and Interest Unfortunately, while the article does indeed uncover available investments earning a 5% or higher yield, …

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Muni Taxes Stay the Same

The U.S. Supreme Court in a 7-2 decision upheld the central tenant of most state’s municipal bond tax policy, specifically that a state can exempt it’s own muni bonds from taxes while taxing the interest on other state’s muni bonds. So, nothing changes from before. If you live in California, the only way to avoid state tax on bond interest is to buy California Municipal Bonds. If you buy bonds from Texas, they can tax that interest. Taxes and Bonds Because interest on bonds is taxed as ordinary income, avoiding taxes on that interest is more important to investors than avoiding taxes on dividends paid by stocks. Most corporate bonds are taxed at both the federal and state level which reduces the real rate of return to the investor. Municipal bonds issued by states are exempt from federal income tax because one branch of the government cannot tax another branch. Whether or not the state municipal bonds are exempt from state income tax is determined by the laws of the states they are issued in. Most states make their own bonds tax-free as a way to make them more attractive for purchase. This tax-free status, plus the relative safety of …

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