S&P

S&P 500 Equal Weight Index Not a Lost Decade

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Bloomberg has an interesting snippet about that so-called “lost decade” everyone keeps talking about. It turns out if you had invested in the stocks of the S&P 500 equally (equal weight) back at the market peak of March 24, 2000, you would have had a 66 percent gain through December 2, 2011, not a zero percent gain. Unfortunately, most people who invest in the S&P 500 Index do so in the same way the index is calculated, capitalization-weighted. That means that you buy more of the bigger companies and less of the smaller ones. There are some index funds and ETFs that allow you to invest in the S&P 500 Equal Weighted Index. There are actually numerous ways in which this was not a lost decade for investors, most importantly, if you KEPT INVESTING, which is what both savvy and not-so savvy investors did when they did not turn off their 401k contributions through this turbulent decade. Those investors could have much more money today than the beginning of the decade and are primed for a much bigger recovery when the U.S. economy finally pulls out of its doldrums and moves ahead. More on this later…

Crazy Week for Economy and Investors

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The beginning of August has brought nothing but turmoil to investors and the economy. Politicians played chicken with the debt ceiling despite the warnings of every single non-politician who knows even a little bit about economics. Although a deal was reached to raise the debt ceiling at the last minute, it was too late. Americans, and the rest of world, are rightly asking can Washington do anything now that it is so polarized into camps of us and them. That uncertainty comes at an inopportune time since there is already so much uncertainty surrounding the current state of the economy. Next came the downgrade of US debt by Standard and Poors. Make no mistake, this was a political, public relations ploy. The original S&P U.S. downgrade played up a very high percentage of debt to GDP, and even gave a number at which things would be "good enough" for the United States debt to not get a downgrade. However, when a math error that was big enough to move the number well into "good enough" territory was discovered, S&P downgraded U.S. bonds anyway, making many wonder what S&P bond ratings are even based on. The company may have damaged its …

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Warren Buffet Wrong About Moody’s

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Warren Buffet testified before Congress that Moody’s rating agency should not be blamed for its enormous role in the financial collapse that occurred following the blow up in the real estate market and the subsequent implosion of collateral mortgage options, or CMOs. These securities eventually became the so-called toxic securities that continue to weigh down the balance sheets of many financial companies. Buffet is not dumb nor is he being led to say certain things by Berkshire Hathaway’s large stock holding in Moody’s. Rather, Buffet is saying that Moody’s and the other rating agencies including Standard and Poors and Fitch can’t be held responsible since what they missed is the same thing that everyone else missed. In other words, they weren’t any worse than anyone else. The problem with this line of thought is that the whole point of Moody’s business is that it knows MORE THAN EVERYONE ELSE. Otherwise, what is the point of paying them to rate securities. If Moody’s role in the securities industry is nothing more than the corroboration of information that others have already figured out, then what is the point of what they do exactly? Don’t forget that numerous investment concerns including pension plans, …

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