- - Page 5 of 10 The Finance Gourmet

Market Falls, But… No Panic… yet?

October 12, 2018 by Finance Gourmet

So, interesting phenomenon happening in the stock market these last few days with the S&P 500 dropping over 5% (around 1,400 points) and even dipping below its 200-day moving average. In the right circumstances, this might be the trigger of a full-on rout in the stock markets. Here is what is missing though: panic. Markets Down – Does Anyone Care? I’ve been subtly (and not so subtly) hinting for about a year now that I think the Federal Reserve is too set in stone on its course to raise interest rates in the face of little to no inflationary pressure. To me, this recovery, as long as it is, doesn’t seem that strong. As such, one rate hike too many, could spell disaster. With this week’s market reacting poorly to rising interest rates in the bond markets, I was dusting off my “I Told You So,” posts. But, it looks like I’ll have to wait a bit longer. My Digit reviews. Despite the fairly big numbers in the Wall Street sell off as late, there isn’t much fear associated with it. When it comes to the economy, nothing matters more than how people FEEL about it. That’s why they try …

No-Brainer High Risk Apple Trade Coming Up

September 7, 2018August 30, 2018 by Finance Gourmet

Apple has announced an event on September 12. Traditionally, Apple announces new iPhones and other “gadgets” in September, and expectations are high. So, what is an investor to do? If you are a long-term investor, nothing. Absolutely nothing. The event will generate some noise in Apple’s stock price, but the actual effects will take place over the months and years as Apple executes on its strategy, and how well the new phones are received. Short-Term Apple Trade What about a short-term investor looking for a little trade on Apple’s big event? In that case, it’s time to look into options and start pricing volatility plays. No matter what Apple announces there will be a reaction. In fact, there is a very good chance that there will be an OVER-reaction. That reaction will show up in a quick rising, or falling stock price. Check out our Zelle review. Now, if you don’t understand options, and don’t already have an options enabled account, this move is not for you, but if you’ve been to this rodeo once or twice before, there is money to be made here in a good volatility trade, coupled with the usual leverage of stock options. Buy Apple …

Stock Market Correction

February 8, 2018 by Finance Gourmet

After Monday’s stock market fall, there was a run up yesterday on Tuesday, then a little drop on Wednesday, and now a 1000+ point market drop again today. So, let’s get a headcount before we proceed. Stock Market Results Last Few Days Monday: -1175 Tuesday: +567 Wednesday: -19 Thursday: -1033 Add it all up, and you get -1,660 for the week. Oh, and by the way, the market was down 666 points last Friday. From the market’s high point, this equates to a drop of a little over 10% putting us into correction territory. (A correction is usually defined as a drop of 10%.) Do We Panic Now? Take a look at what I wrote about Monday’s big stock market drop. Although the market has dipped even further, the result remains the same. For long-term investors with a well diversified portfolio, the best course of action is to ignore all short-term market moves. Even if this is the beginning of a recession (We are totally due for one) the long-term scenario is still the same. The ever higher march of inflation, plus a U.S. economy that always comes back eventually means that holding on, and continuing to invest is the best solution for long-term investing …

Stock Market Plunges – Shall We Panic?

February 5, 2018February 5, 2018 by Finance Gourmet

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell almost 1,200 points. The headlines scream “Largest 1-Day Point Drop in History.” — They say “point drop,” because as a percentage, this declines isn’t even close to the worst. As the Dow increases in value, the percentage of a point becomes a smaller number. This 1,200 points is equal to 4.6%. That’s nothing to sneeze at, but it is not anywhere near as bad on a percentage basis as the 508 point Black Monday crash, which at the time was a drop of 22%. (Could a Black Monday type crash happen again?) Perspective is fun! The 2018 Crash Before we decide to panic, let’s look into our crystal ball and see what will happen in the next few days. First, don’t expect any of the politicians who were taking credit for the stock market rising to come out and accept any blame for the market falling, even though, if one is true, the other must be true as well. The reality is that politicians are never responsible for short-term market moves, no matter how much they try and take the credit. So, this crash isn’t their fault, but the runup wasn’t to their credit …

Is FAANG a Good Investment?

December 15, 2017 by Finance Gourmet

Even if you’ve never heard of FAANG, chances are you have heard of all the stock components and maybe even contemplated an investment in one or more members, but is FAANG a good investment or bad investment? What Is FAANG? Let’s start from the beginning. FAANG stands for Facebook, Apple, Amazon, Netflix and Google. As you can probably tell, these are very big, very well known, technology stocks. They are also frequent investments among investors who only invest in a few individual stocks, people often called Main Street investors (as opposed to Wall Street investors). One omission from the list is Microsoft, which is also a very large, very well known, technology company. Unlike the others, however, Microsoft’s stock is not well loved by Wall Street investors and analysts, in large part due to its sideways performance from 2002 to 2013. While its stock has recently done well, it still doesn’t have the same shine, or flair as the others. Perhaps this makes it a less “noisy” investment with fewer fair-weather, amateur, investors? That’s an article for another day. For professional stock analysts and investors, FAANG represents a quick look at the “new” titans of American business. Each of these …

Stock Market Rising More

October 24, 2017 by Finance Gourmet

Anyone out there with their “the stock market is doomed” predictions acknowledging how much money they would have cost you if you had listened to them and gotten out of the markets in the last several months, or even the last year or two? No? Didn’t think so. It looks like the doomsdayers will have to wait a little bit longer as U.S. companies such as Caterpillar and 3M both reported pretty solid earnings this week driving up the stock market further. It’s a little hard to claim that there is no basis for increasing stock prices when stocks are actually doing well. Give it a week or two. Once earnings season has passed they’ll be back to tell you about how overbought, overvalued, and over-hyped the market is. How Long Will Stocks Keep Rising I don’t know how much longer the stock market will keep going up, and neither does anyone else. That’s why money mangers are always careful to compare themselves to the stock market, and not to their own predictions or track record of being right. Imagine how much more responsible financial analysis might be if you had to publish not only your trading record versus a …

Apple Watch Overreaction Buying Opportunity?

September 20, 2017 by Finance Gourmet

I don’t like giving short-term stock trading advice, because all of the wrong people end up taking it. Let’s start from the beginning. If you don’t have $100,000 of investable assets in a trading account (not counting 401k, IRA, or other long-term savings accounts), you have no business buying individual stocks of any kind. The ability to make a profit with small stock buys is severely limited. Buy Apple Stock on Watch News Apple recently announced the Apple Watch 3. The big deal for the Apple Watch 3 is that it can connect directly to cellular networks on its own without you having to have an iPhone to connect it to. This is another step in the direction of the watch itself replacing your phone, but for now, it’s mostly a novelty that appeals to Apple technology enthusiasts. Recent reviews have indicated that there are some issues with the Apple Watch connectivity. As a result, Apple stock is down over 2% today. This is a major overreaction, and a buying opportunity if you are looking to invest in Apple shares. The problem, is that the watch connects to Wi-Fi networks that do not have internet connectivity. This is the communication …

Stock Market and the Eclipse

August 21, 2017 by Finance Gourmet

With all the scare mongering these days, I’m surprised to not have seen an article about the negative effects a solar eclipse has on the stock market. Has anyone even done the research? What if stock traders get spooked from inside their windowless room on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange? What if little old ladies and their dividend paying stocks worry eclipses erase dividends? What if everyone ruins their iPhone cameras taking pictures of the eclipse? (Actually, that might boost Apple stock when they get a big boost in iPhones sales and repair revenues.) Actually, a story like that is the worst kind of stock market prediction story, because it has a fixed event date. After today, you would have to take your lumps if you were wrong instead of just waiting to slowly, eventually become right, like all of the current, market top doomsday projectors are doing. Of course, an actual prediction with an actual date, would be infinitely more valuable. So, why doesn’t anyone do it? The same reason as always. It actually is impossible to time the markets. Trends come, and trends go, but knowing what will happen today, tomorrow, next week, next month, …

Tesla Does Not Compete With Chevy and Nissan

August 9, 2017 by Finance Gourmet

Here, they come. It looks like the Nissan Leaf will be cheaper than a Tesla, so you know what that means. More articles where so-called analysts decry the prospects for the Tesla Model 3, because Chevy Bolt, and now Nissan, have cheaper electric cars available before the Model 3. This is dumb. Comparing Tesla Model 3 to Chevy Bolt is dumb. Comparing Tesla Model 3 to Nissan Leaf is dumb. Worrying about Tesla stock because less desired offerings are coming out with still less desired new models is dumb. (If you want to worry about Tesla stock, worry about the fact that they are always slower and later than they say. — Although I wouldn’t sell my stock…) The Spec Sheet Falsity Once upon a time, Consumer Reports poorly reviewed the Apple iPad. The reason? It compared specification sheets with other tablets, and the iPad had lower specs. Of course, this completely and utterly missed the point. Turns out that Consumer Reports always does this. I found out the hard way when we bought one of their “best buy” stoves only to find out that despite the great temperature readings they got on their laser thermometers, the flame pattern was …

Why You Shouldn’t Worry About a Market Top

July 24, 2017 by Finance Gourmet

Worried about whether or not the market is overvalued? Did the markets set ANOTHER record? You aren’t alone. Seemingly every day, a major financial website or magazine publishes an article about how the stock market is overvalued, how this is a top, and that you should feel very, very scared. But, should you even bother worrying about a market top? Not if you aren’t talking about short-term investments. If you are talking about a 401k , an IRA, or any other form of long-term investing, you should ignore all the market top talk. What To Do For a Market Top The biggest problem with a market top is knowing WHEN it is going to happen. Remember, the stock market does not move based upon absolute truth. Rather, the stock market is a popularity contest where people vote for companies, or their shares, by buying them, and vote against companies, or their shares, by selling them. It is driven entirely by people (and computer programs made to anticipate people’s reactions, but that is another article). What that means, is even if the market really is truly overvalued, right now, today, it still does not mean that the sell off will begin …