Abby Joseph Cohen Track Record Accurate As A Broken Indicator Light
I fired off a quick post yesterday about the “news” that Goldman Sach’s Abby Joseph Cohen declared the recession over. If you missed it, I made the point that an arrow pointing up painted on a wall had just as accurate of a track record as Ms. Cohen did over the past decade or so. For some reason, Cohen has a set of groupies, or fan boys, or whatever that always like to remind people of when she was “right” and, of course, always forget about when she was wrong. The truth is that Abby Joseph Cohen has never been “right”. If your answer to a yes/no question is always the same, you aren’t getting the questions right. You are just happening upon the questions that were written with a yes answer. That isn’t intelligence or ability, that’s statistics. Still, so as to avoid anyone showing up and (publicly, so far, it’s only messages) saying that I have forgotten about all the really great “calls” she has made, I offer the following factual data as proof that any upward pointing arrow would have made, and lost, investors just as much money as Abby Joseph Cohen over the last 10 years. …