Stocks

Stock Market 2011 Results

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The results of the stock market for 2011 are basically flat. While the Dow Jones Industrial Average can claim a small gain, the S&P 500 Index ended 2011 with a small loss. Likewise, the NASDAQ ended down for 2011 as well. 2011 Dow Jones Up The Dow finished up for 2011 thanks in part to the makeup of the index. The stocks in the Down Jones Industrial Average contain only large U.S. companies. While financial companies make up a significant number of the stocks, their impact is limited because the Dow Jones Average is a price-weighted index. That means that higher priced stocks have more influence on the average than lower priced stocks. Most financial stocks have very low share prices these days, and as a result, their performance doesn’t drag as heavily on the average. Bank of America was the worst performer in the Dow having lost 58.3 percent for the year. The Dow Industrials finished up 5.5 percent for the year. That is three consecutive positive years for the Dow, although nobody is dancing in the streets over this year’s performance, where many components had flat or down years. The top 5 Dow stocks for 2011 were McDonald’s …

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S&P 500 Equal Weight Index Not a Lost Decade

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Bloomberg has an interesting snippet about that so-called “lost decade” everyone keeps talking about. It turns out if you had invested in the stocks of the S&P 500 equally (equal weight) back at the market peak of March 24, 2000, you would have had a 66 percent gain through December 2, 2011, not a zero percent gain. Unfortunately, most people who invest in the S&P 500 Index do so in the same way the index is calculated, capitalization-weighted. That means that you buy more of the bigger companies and less of the smaller ones. There are some index funds and ETFs that allow you to invest in the S&P 500 Equal Weighted Index. There are actually numerous ways in which this was not a lost decade for investors, most importantly, if you KEPT INVESTING, which is what both savvy and not-so savvy investors did when they did not turn off their 401k contributions through this turbulent decade. Those investors could have much more money today than the beginning of the decade and are primed for a much bigger recovery when the U.S. economy finally pulls out of its doldrums and moves ahead. More on this later…

Stock Market 4th Quarter Turn Around

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Sometimes it seems like the stock market is just messing with people. After seemingly running off of a cliff to end the third quarter of 2011, the market has recently staged a rally. Take a look at a chart for the Dow Jones Industrial Average and you’ll see a low point on October 3, 2011. It’s almost like the market wanted to make sure that your third quarter statements looked bad before any sort of upward movement. Of course, there is a long way to go until the end of the year and pressing economic matters like the debt crisis in Europe, the joint budget cutting committee and an unemployment rate that won’t go down are still to be resolved. For the time being, non-day trading investors should remember that short-term movements in the stock market are notoriously difficult to predict. End of Year Portfolio Rebalancing Many experts recommend rebalancing your long-term portfolios like retirement accounts (IRAs, 401k, and other retirement plans) once a year. Traditionally, many people do it near the end of the year. If you haven’t rebalanced your portfolio since last year, it’s a good time to start thinking about doing it soon.

2011 Stock Market Update Q3

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The third quarter just closed on September 30th and it was not a pretty sight for short-term investors. The S&P 500 closed at 1,131.42 which is down 14 percent for the third-quarter. It started the year by opening on January 3rd (the 1st and 2nd were Saturday and Sunday, respectively) at 1,257.62.  That is a drop of a little over 10 percent year to date. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is off 5.74 percent year to date. The stock market took a huge dive starting July 21st and has never pulled itself back up. For those of you looking for the culprit, let me help you out. The debt ceiling deal was reached at the end of July, which means the 21st was pretty much the height of the shenanigans. The markets have had no truly good news since to pull themselves back up by. Outlook for 2011 4th Quarter Stock Market Don’t expect the news cycle to save the stock market during the fourth quarter of 2011. In the 4th quarter, we’ll see increasingly competitive rhetoric building in the Republican Presidential primary, the product of the debt ceiling committee, which most are projecting will fail, and the start of …

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Trading Basics from the SEC

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The SEC released an interesting item today.  It’s a two and a half page "bulletin" entitled Investor Bulletin: Trading Basics. Ironically, anyone who knows enough about the stock market to know about the investor education materials offered by the SEC probably already knows everything included in the PDF file. Be that as it may, if you want an official government agency explanation of terms like Market Orders, Limit Orders, Stop Orders, and Stop-Limit Orders, here is a nice, short, easy to read one for you. By the way, there are numerous investor education pieces available at the SEC website. Just search your topic and add site:sec.gov to the end of your search to limit results to those that are on the official U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission website.

2011 Outlook for Banks and Mortgage Companies

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Throughout the financial crisis and subsequent bailout of the U.S. banking system, the issue has been one of Wall Street versus Main Street. That is, the idea that greedy bankers, investment bankers, and Wall Street traders duped unsophisticated Americans into mortgages that they could not afford and then left them hanging when things went bad. Whether that versions of events is true or not is open to debate. However, what has been missing so far from the banking crisis scenario is that numerous investors, very sophisticated, institutional investors, were also "duped" by Wall Street titans and those too-big to fail banks. Those investors were buying AAA-rated bonds from reputable investment firms and banks. They were not buying risky, high-yield bond investments, or so they thought. An article over at MSNBC underlines those circumstances and suggests that the next phase of the mortgage crisis debacle may just now be getting underway, thanks in part to the complexities and speed of the U.S. legal system. Banks Sued Over Mortgages Used For Bonds Giants of the bond market’s investing world such as PIMCO Investment Management, and Blackrock Financial Management, two of the biggest fixed-income mutual fund managers in the world, as well as …

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Apple Stock Good Investment or Passing Fad

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People are always asking me if I think certain stocks are a good investment. There is a flaw in the question, but we’ll get to that in a minute. Right now, let’s get right to the real question people are always asking me these days. Is Apple Stock a good investment? What people mean when they ask me that is not whether or not Apple is a good investment, but whether or not I think Apple stock will go up a lot … soon … really soon. They also want to know whether or not I think Apple stock will go down, but that is not why they ask the question. They want to buy Apple stock because it sounds like a smart investment, or because it feels like a smart investment. Of course, none of this has anything to do with an in-depth analysis of the company’s stock and it’s prospects for future growth and earnings. It’s all about buzz. They heard about the iPhone and it’s a big hit! They heard about the iPad and it’s a big hit! They heard about the NEW iPhone, and it’s a big hit! Now, they hear that Apple’s earnings are higher …

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Are Share Buybacks Really Good For Shareholders?

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IBM released their quarterly earnings. As is customary, the company announced various financial numbers like how much it earned per share and how much revenue it generated for the quarter, and so on. As is customary for IBM, the company also announced yet another giant share repurchase using shareholder money to buyback IBM shares of stock. The idea of a stock buyback is that the company figures that its stock is undervalued on the stock market. By buying shares of stock at those low prices, the corporation is increasing shareholder value by making a good investment in itself. Theoretically, those shares repurchased by the company at a low price can be used to pay out earned stock options, for example, at a lower cost. But, IBM — along with many other companies — has perverted the concept of a share repurchase or stock buyback. IBM Stock is currently trading near an all-time high stock price. While, it is possible that even at that price per share the company believes its shares are undervalued, that is not what is really going on here. IBM Stock Buybacks Share Repurchase Run Amok IBM is not a “new” tech company like Microsoft, Google, Amazon, …

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Facebook Valuation Estimates Billions Wrong?

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Now that the new Facebook movie is coming out, even more people are going to be clamoring for information about just what Facebook is, what the Facebook company is like, and, of course, how to invest in Facebook. The catch is, there is no Facebook. Not a Facebook company you can invest in at least. Should savvy investors be looking to buy Facebook stock when they can? Investing In Facebook Let’s start with the basics. When most people think of stock, they think of the stocks that trade on the major stock exchanges like the New York Stock Exchange. The companies that trade their stocks here are called publicly-traded companies, because shares of their stock are bought and sold on public exchanged like the NYSE, AMEX, and NASDAQ. There are also many companies, both big and small, that do not have stock shares that trade on the public markets. These companies are often referred to as privately-held companies, although that is not always a technically accurate decision. Facebook is NOT a publicly traded company. There are no Facebook shares of stock to buy on the NASDAQ or any other public stock exchange. That means that there is no way to …

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Yahoo Buys Associated Content

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There are plenty of other things Yahoo gets from buying Associated Content, not the least of which is a big fat swath of Internet real estate that ranks obscenely high in Google search results and Bing search results. A great deal of the traffic generated from these high ranking searches is monetized via, you guessed it, Google AdSense which pays content publishers based upon ads placed by Google on those websites. Yahoo, can now switch out those Google Ads and replace them with their own Yahoo Ads.