interest rates

Stock Market Down On Jobs

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The Dow Jones Industrial Average is down about 300 points right now because of a good jobs report. As the main character in one of my daughter’s shows says, “What the huh?” Jobs Good, Rates Rise? No one thing seems to move the stock market more regularly than the jobs report. As always, this new report is actually about last month. After all, it takes some time to collect and calculate the data. What makes this particular jobs report so important is its timing. The Federal Reserve Board is scheduled to meet in September. The Fed has expressed a willingness, if not a desire, to raise interest rates this year if the economy is doing well enough. Everything looked pretty good for a rate increase in September, but then the whole China market blowup thing happened and with it, the U.S. stock market took a hit, and the idea of a rate hike got a little more iffy. But, with a good jobs report, the rate hike is back on the table… maybe. You see, the jobs report was good, but not good enough to make this a no brainer. Jobs were created, but well below the 200,000 that would be …

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What Happens When The Fed Raises Interest Rates?

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There has been a lot of talk recently about the Federal Reserve raising interest rates. First, remember that the Federal Reserve only actually sets interest rates for banks. Specifically, the Fed sets two interest rates. The first interest rate, called the Discount Rate, is the interest rate the Fed charges banks for an overnight loan. The second rate is called the target rate, and this is the interest rate the Fed tries to achieve via the open market operations. Since the monetary crisis that started off the Great Recession, the Federal Reserve’s target interest rate has essentially been zero. The purpose of such a rate is to make it more worthwhile for banks to lend money. The idea is that more money in the economy stimulates additional growth. The economy is still growing very slowly, but it is still growing, which brings us to raising interest rates. Interest Rates Growth and Inflation In physics, basic equations come with the caveat that they are true, on a friction-less plane, in a vacuum. In other words, if there is no gravity or wind resistance. Such calculations are useful for understanding concepts, but would be devastatingly inaccurate for use in the real world. …

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How To – Refinancing a Home Mortgage Steps and Tips

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When considering refinancing your home mortgage, the first step is to get all of the details on what you have now.  Sure, you have vague numbers in your head, but that won’t help you answer all of the loan application questions, or make a real hard-numbers based calculation about the value of refinancing.  What exactly do you need to know before you dive into looking for low interest rates and refinancing your mortgage? Required Information Before Researching Interest Rates and Refinancing Current Balance of Home’s First Mortgage – Not a ballpark, an exact number according to your last statement. Current Balance of Home’s Second Mortgage or HELOC – Again, the number from the last statement. Current Interest Rate – What are you paying on your mortgage right now? ARM or Adjustable Interest Rate Features – When does your rate go up? (The actual date, not just the year.)  How much can it go up in the first year?  The second year?  Each year after that?  Is there a floor (minimum)?  Is there a ceiling (maximum)? When Did Your Mortgage Start? – What day did you close on? Current Home Value? – Check Zillow and Trulia to get a ballpark.  Print …

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Your First Basic Financial Plan

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As a former Certified Financial Planner, or CFP, I tend, like many other financial experts, to think (and write) in terms of the tricky, the convoluted, and the complex. The truth is that money and personal finance can be very intricate and complex. However, it is also true that the biggest bang for the buck financial planning wise comes from doing the most basic things. Too often, we get caught up in things that actually end up being tiny details of your overall financial life. For example, many people shop endlessly for higher savings account interest rates. Whether you have a high-yield savings account, a regular savings account, or even a kids savings account, the interest rate matters far less than how much money  you put in it. If you have $10,000 and you put it in a regular savings account earning 0.5 percent, your interest for the year will be approximately, $50. If you got double that rate, 1.0%, then you’d have $100 in interest. In either case, you would still basically just have $10,000 at the end of the year, $10,050 or $10,100, respectively. Neither has a meaningful impact on your overall financial status. On the other hand, if …

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Mid-Year Review 2014

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Here it is, June 2014, the middle of the year. So, what do things look like for your personal finances in 2014 at the half-way point? Let’s jump right in and find out. 2014 Taxes You’re going to pay taxes in 2014, and in every year until you die. Right now, is a good time to handle a few tax issues before the second half of 2014 gets rolling. First, use the IRS withholding calculator to see if your tax withholdings are set properly. Grab a paystub and enter your information for so far this year. Add in a best guess of your various income tax deductions, or use last year’s tax forms to make estimates. Of course, if you prefer, you can use the 2014 standard tax deduction rate as well. Either way, if you are way off on your withholdings (you’ll owe a fortune, or get a fortune back as a refund), it’s time to submit a new W4 form to your employer. Grab your nearest HR person and ask for one, or just get one from the IRS website and turn it in. You only need the bottom part and filling in the worksheet is not necessary, …

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Good Enough Checking From Your Bank or Brokerage

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I was going through my stack of mail to look at (separate from the stack that has things that actually need taken care of) and came across an offer for Fidelity’s mySmart Cash Account.  Intrigued, I decided to take a look at the Fidelity checking account that they were so proud of that they included a glossy little flier to advertise it.  The result?  What the—? Regular Bank Checking Sucks This Bad? The Fidelity myCash account boasts exactly two features that do not count as minimum basic features for a checking account.  First, it pays interest.  How much interest?  Well, this is where Fidelity gets a little weasel-ish.  The flyer says that I will “Earn three times the national average…”  Um, OK.  How much is that?  Folks, it isn’t even in the fine print, that’s how much the rate must be worth! A visit to Fidelity’s website reveals the depressing answer.  A balance of less than $5,000 in a myCash checking account will earn a whopping 0.20% APR.  Whoo hoo!  But wait!  Maybe if you have over $5,000 it is worthwhile?  Survey says? 0.20% again.  Yes, go through all of the steps and take the time to open a Fidelity …

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Fed Keeping Interest Rates Low

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In an announcement that comes as no surprise, in large part because it has been repeatedly telegraphed by the the Fed itself, the Federal Reserve Board on voted on Tuesday to leave interest rates at their current near zero rates. The Fed further reiterated its commitment to doing so for the near future, pledging to keep rates low through at least the middle of 2013. There are several interesting implications for investors and consumers in the Federal Reserve’s actions and statements today. First, as mortgage lending continues to languish and be a rather slow and dour corner of finance, homeowners should take solace in the fact that there is no rush. While there is no guarantee rates will stay exactly as low as they are, the Fed’s continued commitment to low interest rates means that neither new mortgage interest rates or adjustable mortgage rates are going up any time soon. Second, the Fed announced that it would continue to implements the so-called “twist” in which the Federal Reserve is moving its short-term bond holdings to longer-term bond holdings in an effort to bring down long-term interest rates. Longer term rates are traditionally less influenced by the Fed, which sets only the short-term …

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Economy Growing Slowly – Inflation Benign

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The U.S. economy continues to grow at a very slow pace according to the Federal Reserve’s Beige Book. That isn’t good enough considering how deep the current recession is. At this rate, growth back to anything resembling an expansion would take a very long time. However, the good news is that the economy isn’t getting any worse for the time being. The Beige Book is a summary of the current state of the U.S economy across all of the Fed’s districts and for the most part, all reports are of "modest" or even "slight" growth. Inflation Not Happening It seems that the highest "street cred" a Fed banker can have is to be an inflation hawk. Since 2008, however, inflation hawks have actually been Chicken Little’s. With the economy growing very slowly and many Americans still out of work, it’s hard to see where inflationary pressure could come from. The just released Consumer Price Index (CPI) just confirmed that there is no real inflation anywhere to be found in the economy. The index rose just 0.1 percent. Prices excluding food and energy, both traditionally volatile pricing sectors that seem to move of their own accord rather than in step with …

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Can The Fed Really Be Treasonous?

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Recently, newly official Presidential candidate Rick Perry suggested that it would be "treasonous" for Ben Bernanke and the Federal Reserve to "print more money" in order to play politics. If you want the political dogfight over the comments, check your regular media outlet. However, the comments highlight a fundamental misunderstanding that most Americans have about the Federal Reserve Board and its power over the U.S. economy. Before we get into that, however, it seems that there is a glaring lack of logic in both Mr. Perry’s comments and the media reaction to them. If the Fed can fix the economy to such an extent that the recovery might alter the outcome of the election, whenever it chooses to do so, wouldn’t it be more treasonous to not be doing it right now, or say, six months ago? In other words, if just turning on the printing presses would make a meaningful improvement to the economy, shouldn’t (wouldn’t) they be doing it right now instead of letting the U.S. economy stall, its citizens suffer and allowing other countries to gain strength at America’s expense? The Fed’s Real Power The truth is that "printing money" or other fiscal stimulus can only accomplish …

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