- The Finance Gourmet

Is Volkswagen Stock a Buy?

May 6, 2021 by Finance Gourmet

Is Volkswagen a good stock to buy right now? Some good news from Volkswagen showing rising car sales, despite a pandemic, and nice profitability. As an added bonus, electric car sales are up, and the company gets it that electric vehicles are the future, sooner rather than later. The only ding from analysts was one analyst saying he was worried that the company was spending too much on R&D. This is small minded, short-term thinking. Block that dude, and move on. The real potential problem is the chip shortage that is affecting all card manufacturers will likely hit Volkswagen too. This means that the company won’t be able to make enough vehicles to continue increasing sales. This guidance to lower sales is the reason the stock is down. As long-term investors interested in a dividend, this is a short-term problem overly focused on by a stock analysis and stock new industry obsessed with short-term stock prices. That means its time for some tire kicking from actual investors. The upside to this that no one is talking about is that the vehicles they can sell will likely sell at higher prices due to decreased supply. That means higher profitability per unit. …

Stock Market Rising More

October 24, 2017 by Finance Gourmet

Anyone out there with their “the stock market is doomed” predictions acknowledging how much money they would have cost you if you had listened to them and gotten out of the markets in the last several months, or even the last year or two? No? Didn’t think so. It looks like the doomsdayers will have to wait a little bit longer as U.S. companies such as Caterpillar and 3M both reported pretty solid earnings this week driving up the stock market further. It’s a little hard to claim that there is no basis for increasing stock prices when stocks are actually doing well. Give it a week or two. Once earnings season has passed they’ll be back to tell you about how overbought, overvalued, and over-hyped the market is. How Long Will Stocks Keep Rising I don’t know how much longer the stock market will keep going up, and neither does anyone else. That’s why money mangers are always careful to compare themselves to the stock market, and not to their own predictions or track record of being right. Imagine how much more responsible financial analysis might be if you had to publish not only your trading record versus a …

Retail Stocks and 2017

January 5, 2017 by Finance Gourmet

Wheee! Well, looks like 2017 is going to be a lot of fun, and by fun, I mean volatile and sketchy all the way through. First up, are announcements by retail stocks such as Macy’s and Sears, both of whom announced that they would be cutting staff and closing stores. Kohls also announced sluggish holiday sales. That means that the 2016 holiday shopping season was not strong enough for a lot of traditional retailers. Look for earnings on the low side, that disappoint Wall Street for most retail stocks. This is a big deal, because this was supposed to be the “up” year for the economy. The stock market is up, closing in on 20,000. Job reports show that unemployment is as low as it’s been since before the Great Recession. The Fed even finally got to raise interest rates in December. If this holiday season wasn’t good, then things maybe aren’t going as well as everyone might have hoped. Of course, it is possible that there was still plenty of consumer spending and it just went different places like online retailers, or specialty stores, but so far, no one is pushing that theory. Trump, The Fed, Inflation and a …

Windows 10 and Microsoft’s Earnings

July 29, 2015 by Finance Gourmet

I don’t usually do a lot of analysis of company moves. I just don’t have the time, and often don’t have the insight. But, as a freelance technology writer, I spend a lot of time looking at technology and technology companies. Microsoft is rolling out its new operating system called Windows 10, and it has some interesting marketing and PR behind it. Free Windows 10 Upgrade The first interesting thing about Windows 10 is that it is free. Well…. kind of… and sort of. If you already own Windows 7 or Windows 8, Microsoft will allow you to upgrade to Windows 10 for free, for up to one year. That is, you have one year from now to upgrade to Windows 10 and get it for free. Free? How does this make sense for a publicly traded, profit motivated company? The first thing to understand is that most customers don’t actually upgrade their operating system when new operating systems come out. For retail customers (that is, people who have their own computers that they use and set up themselves) the process of upgrading an operating system is complicated, and unnecessary. After all, if your computer works now, why bother doing …

What Higher Apple Dividend Means for Investors

September 9, 2024April 27, 2015 by Finance Gourmet

I’m a huge fan of higher dividends. I’m less of a fan of share buybacks, but let’s get there in a minute. Apple Raises Dividend Theoretically, owning a stock means owning a part, or share, of a company. However, if you really break it down, being a shareholder means virtually nothing anymore. For example, in business classes around the country they will tell you that as a shareholder, one of your rights of ownership is voting for the company’s Board of Directors. That’s technically true, but these days, that means nothing. Only a certain number of seats are up for election at one time. Only the candidates that the company’s current management wants are on the ballot. In other words, even if you owned 51% of a company’s stock, your ability to vote would take years to actually affect the company. Your actual avenue for affecting any sort of change is the courts. If you don’t get to “own” the company, then what is your stock actually worth? Well, it is an item of limited supply that others believe have value. It’s the same way U.S. currency works, or Bitcoin. The exception is when a company pays a dividend. Then, …

Apple Earnings Miss Panic?

July 25, 2012 by Finance Gourmet

Apple (AAPL) reported its third quarter earnings on Tuesday and was promptly hammered with downgrades and negative financial news articles. This morning, the stock is down nearly five percent. Is it time to sell Apple stock? See here for the Finance Gourmet’s analysis of Microsoft’s first quarterly loss. Apple’s Earnings Facts It seems that Apple has maybe gotten too good at living up to people’s expectations. Last year’s iPhone release of a modestly upgraded iPhone 4S, which basically was a small upgrade that added the voice assistant Siri. That, plus Apple’s track record of releasing a new iPhone roughly once per year, has left many iPhone buyers waiting for the still unannounced iPhone 5. All of those customers not buying iPhones this quarter dented Apple’s earnings. Concerned about whether Credit Karma is a scam? Here is where things get a little weird. Everyone already knew that the demand for iPhone 4 was lessening in the face of increasing belief that the next iPhone was just a few months away. Couple that with the 2-year contracts that the carriers slap on every new iPhone purchase and you get people who don’t want to get “stuck” with the “old” iPhone when the …

Apple Earnings Good or Bad?

April 23, 2012 by Finance Gourmet

Apple reports earnings on April 24. This report is actually for earnings from the 2nd quarter of Apple’s fiscal year, even though corporations on a calendar year are reporting first quarter earnings right now. (Several tech companies reported earnings last week.) After a rough week for the company in the headlines, these earnings will likely be used as a gauge for the short-term future of Apple stock. Recently, Apple has been the subject of legal action from the Justice Department regarding alleged price-fixing for ebooks. Although this makes up a tiny portion of Apple’s revenue, it is a major key in how the Apple store works. If there is a problem with this model for books, there could conceivably be issues in other markets as well. What is not in doubt is that Apple will continue to dominate the tablet computer market and that its prolific iPhone will continue to be a huge player in the smartphone market. There is little doubt among analysts that things in the marketplace look good for Apple in both the short and long-term. In fact, the only real question about Apple stock these days seems to be whether the company’s shares have risen too …

Tech Earnings Week

April 22, 2012 by Finance Gourmet

This past week featured the earnings release of several major technology companies, coming closely on the heels of major earnings announcements from other tech companies, including Google and Apple. IBM Earnings First up, IBM reported revenue of $24.7 billion leading to earnings of $2.78 per share. The consensus estimates from analysts were a bit higher for revenue, but a bit lower for earnings per share. The company did raise its full-year earnings guidance, but it wasn’t enough. Investor reaction wasn’t pretty with shares dropping 2.4 percent the following day, and continuing down. The technology giant closed on Tuesday before reporting earnings at 207.31 and closed Friday at just 199.55. IBM’s results have also been blamed for the general downward direction of the markets for the end of the week. Still, IBM has a long history of boosting its share prices, primarily by buying back enormous amount of stock each year. Intel Earnings Intel’s earnings didn’t make investors any happier. The stock has had a pretty good run-up as of late, so anything other than a gangbusters quarter was likely to lead to a poor reaction. Intel shares got it. The stock closed before earnings on Tuesday at 28.48, but finished …

Google Lower Cost Per Click Doesn’t Matter

April 12, 2012 by Finance Gourmet

Google just reported its quarterly earnings. They did very well, beating pretty much every analyst’s numbers. Those who want to nitpick will complain that the price per click has gone down. However, that isn’t really surprising considering that the number of clicks went up. There are some issues coming with Google’s stock, but this isn’t one of them. Google Cost Per Click Down Google’s advertising model is based on advertisers paying either “per click” or “per impression.” Actually, advertisers pay per every thousand impressions, but that isn’t the point. Advertisers who pay using the per click model pay a certain amount each time someone clicks on their ad, but nothing if the ad goes unclicked. A smart online advertiser using the per click model will determine how much each click is worth. There can be many ways of determining this, and numerous intangibles are considered by some advertisers. However, the most simple concept would be something like this. Maximum payable cost per click = Amount of revenue generated per click / Number of clicks necessary to generate revenue. In other words, if you generate $1 per transaction (this is called a conversion) and it takes you 10 clicks to generate …