Investing

What Do Stock Market Records Mean?

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Both the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500 closed at all-time highs on Friday. It seems that every week brings new record-breaking highs for the Dow and the SP500. The question is, what do all of these record highs mean. Should an average investor do anything when the stock market hits a new record? What Is a Stock Market Record High? Let’s start with the basics. While individual stocks on the stock market are going up and down based on their own merit, and supply and demand, the stock market is often reported as a single thing. What financial reporters and analysts mean when they say “the stock market,” is one of the indexes of the markets. There are numerous indexes, but the most widely touted are the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the Standard and Poors 500 index. When people say the stock market broke a record high, they mean that one (or both) of those indexes is higher than it has ever been. (You can’t invest directly in the indexes, which are just academic, mathematical statistics, but you can get close using index funds.) In a way, higher records are inevitable. Even if the intrinsic value …

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Apple iPhone 6 Stock Update

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The real information about the possible impact on Apple stock from the iPhone 6 and iPhone 6 plus is in last week’s article, but since Apple released some new data, I’ll do a little update here. In particular, I’m going to a take a look at how some of what is “out there” applies to the things we wanted to watch for to see what, if any, impact the new iPhones have Apple stock. If this doesn’t make sense, it’s because you didn’t read the earlier article about whether now is a good time to invest in Apple stock. Go ahead, click the link, read it, and then hit the back button. We aren’t going anywhere 🙂 The original “Apple Event” where the new iPhones, Apple Watch, and Pay Now were announced was September 9th. iPhone Supply – So, we talked about sales of the iPhone. There wasn’t anybody who thought that Apple would sell anything less that “millions” of iPhone 6 and iPhone 6 Plus. The company released data showing just that on Monday. So, how is the supply of iPhones working out? There’s conservative, there’s underestimated, and there’s artificially creating an iPhone shortage. Which one is is? Apple …

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iPhone 6 and Apple Stock

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I wasn’t going to write this post, but I’ve gotten just enough emails and messages on the subject of what the new iPhone 6 and iPhone 6 Plus means for Apple stock that I thought I’d post some quick thoughts for readers here. First, the old saying in investing is to buy the rumor and sell the news. As with all Wall Street wisdom, this is a gross oversimplification and only partially true. However, consider that the time to buy the POTENTIAL of the new iPhone and Apple Watch was BEFORE the big event. The risk, of course, was that if the information was disappointing, the stock would have likely taken a  downturn. As it was, people, and analysts, seemed pleased with what they saw, and the stock has already reacted positively. What this means, is that if you wanted to invest for the short-term based on the fact that felt Apple’s new technology would be good, you are too late. Now, if you are looking to invest in Apple NOW, for the short-term, your investment will depend on: a) How well the products are received by the real consumer. – Potential risks here involve a new “antenna-gate” type of …

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Microsoft Layoffs About Nokia and New CEO

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Microsoft recently announced a big round of layoffs. According to reports, this is Microsoft’s biggest round of layoffs ever, at nearly 18,000 employees, all within the next year. Often, layoffs are all about Wall Street, rather than the company itself. Cutting jobs shows you are serious about cutting costs, which investors seem to care about more than the admission that your company no longer produces the products or revenues to fully use your workforce. In this case, the motivation is different. New Microsoft CEO Stamps Microsoft has a new CEO after years under Bill Gates replacement Steve Ballmer. The company, which still generates plenty of revenue and profit, is frequently criticized for not growing more, for “losing” its dominant position, and for missing out on big technology shifts, primarily mobile technology. When Ballmer stepped down, nothing was more important than the next CEO making big, drastic moves to “right the ship.” New Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella is doing just that. First, there was a company-wide memo (gladly made public) about how Microsoft would make be making major shifts in its focus and in how it develops, markets, and sells products. Next up, Nadella is “proving” he is serious about changes by …

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Investing Scams Newsletters

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Scamming investors is a very old practice. Way before a centralized stock market institutionalized the dreams of investors looking to get rich, there were unsavory tricksters looking to pray on those dreams. Are Investing Newsletters Scams? Not all newsletters are scams. However, it is important to remember that even legitimate newsletters seldom have a solid, long-term, track record of beating the market. The statistics and returns are often carefully calculated in the just the right way as to show the newsletter in the best possible light. For example, a newsletter may only report it’s “best picks” returns. This allows a retroactive look at what the “best picks” were. For newsletters that are scams, there are some useful ways to spot them. Other FinanceGourmet articles on finance schemes: Credit Karma Is a Scam? Is Quizzle a Scam Is Credit Sesame Safe? FAFSA.com scam First, a legitimate newsletter won’t promise the sun and the moon, especially, after you have subscribed to it. Companies frequently boast a little big when they are advertising to new customers. However, once you buy that new car, the manufacturer doesn’t include a section in the owner’s manual about how to beat a fighter jet in a drag …

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Mid-Year Review 2014

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Here it is, June 2014, the middle of the year. So, what do things look like for your personal finances in 2014 at the half-way point? Let’s jump right in and find out. 2014 Taxes You’re going to pay taxes in 2014, and in every year until you die. Right now, is a good time to handle a few tax issues before the second half of 2014 gets rolling. First, use the IRS withholding calculator to see if your tax withholdings are set properly. Grab a paystub and enter your information for so far this year. Add in a best guess of your various income tax deductions, or use last year’s tax forms to make estimates. Of course, if you prefer, you can use the 2014 standard tax deduction rate as well. Either way, if you are way off on your withholdings (you’ll owe a fortune, or get a fortune back as a refund), it’s time to submit a new W4 form to your employer. Grab your nearest HR person and ask for one, or just get one from the IRS website and turn it in. You only need the bottom part and filling in the worksheet is not necessary, …

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Coming to FinanceGourmet – Personal Finance Blog

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This coming week, we have some interesting new articles for Finance Gourmet to help with frequently asked about and requested personal financial health topics. First up, as May draws to a close, June marks both the end of the second quarter, and the midpoint of the year. What kinds of things should you be aware of at this point for optimal financial health? We’ll discuss quarterly tax payments, how the markets are looking at the half way point, what things you might want to be thinking of for minimizing your taxes, and more. Next, we tackle signing up for a 529 plan, step by step. Not long ago, I wrote about how a financial planner can help keep you from getting stuck on your financial planning actions such as setting up a 529 plan. But, when you can find them, a detailed step-by-step guide to setting up financial accounts such as a 529 plan can be just as valuable. We’ll give you a detailed guide on how to open a Colorado 529 plan, including how to fill out all the Colorado 529 plan forms to set up an account. Then, we’ll look at some of the new IRS numbers that …

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Apple Earnings Dividends and Stock Split

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Apple is one of those companies that draws more than its fair share of attention. There are both the so-called fanboys, and plenty of haters out there to talk at high volume whenever the company does anything. However, the company is also a key component of the S&P 500 and most NASDAQ indexes. In other words, what Apple does as a publicly traded company matters to your personal finance. Apple 2014 Q2 Earnings You’ve probably seen the news by now. Apple had what many analysts are calling a blockbuster quarter. In particular, analysts were surprised by the increase in Apple’s revenue for the quarter. In a way, this is just further proof that analysts don’t really have any sort of crystal ball that regular investors don’t. Apple long ago stopped giving guidance to Wall Street. Without that guidance, Wall Street really doesn’t have a clue how things are going for Apple beyond what things like channel checks can tell them. If you want to read about Apple’s second quarter earnings, there are several reasources including Marketwatch, and Apple’s investor relations website. However, for long-term investors in Apple stock, the quarterly earnings are not the story. What is the story is …

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Goldman Sachs Report Card Accountability

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There is precious little accountability in the world of stock market analysis. I’ve written before about how Goldman Sachs’ chief market analyst (at the time) predicted an up year for stocks during every single year from before the internet bubble burst through to when she finally stopped making market predictions after again predicting  a higher stock market for 2008. If you’re recent market history is a bit fuzzy, 2008 was a disastrous year for stocks and the start of the so-called Great Recession. Even where there appears to be accountability, it is often easily gamed. Analysts get rankings from various financial groups, but those are often laughable. If an analyst has a “Buy” on a stock and that company reports after-hours that its main product slaughters babies by the thousands, when the analyst cuts his outlook before the market opens, he gets credit for shifting his prediction before the ensuing drop in the stock price. So, it was a little breath of fresh air, when MarketWatch decided to take a quick look at the report card for Goldman Sachs’ 2013 investment recommendations. Goldman Sachs 2013 Investment Calls Report Card Remember in elementary school when the teacher had you self-grade some papers. You …

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What Are Expected Earnings?

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It’s earnings season again, and interest in running high in many companies including technology giants like Amazon, Apple, Facebook, and so on. With each earnings report, there is typically commentary noting how the company’s actual reported earnings ended up comparing to the expected earnings. This phrasing comes up so often, that most investors are used to the terminology long before they actually make any investments, but it is useful to understand just what expected earnings are, and who it is that generates those estimates. How Companies Report Earnings Publicly traded companies are required to issue financial reports about their company on a regular basis. These earnings reports are generated and published each quarter. In addition, companies generate an annual financial report, which typically accompanies the fourth quarter earnings report. There are very specific rules that govern when and how a company can disclose “material information.” A company’s financial information is most definately material. The basic rule is that companies may not make any disclosure of material information without doing so publicly. Just what counts as public has evolved slowly over the last few years, but the basic point is that all investors must get the same information at the same …

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