- - Page 4 of 11 The Finance Gourmet

Stock Market Correction in 2019?

December 5, 2019 by Finance Gourmet

Time is running out for all of those financial analysts, pundits, and economists who predicted a market correction, or worse in 2019. As always, there will be no accountability, nor any mention of the failure of these predictions when the same folks predict a correction in 2020 and then try and take credit for “calling the market.” Still, for those of us who don’t shamble along to the daily clutter of the financial media looking for some sort of clicks, it can be a funny exercise to watch. Every year, I tell my self that I’m going to keep a running tally of the “predictions” so I can create an easy to view table showing the failure of the majority of predictions. Unfortunately, that would be a very time consuming task considering the sheer number of financial professionals who confidently make bold predictions to grab a day or two of headlines. Rakuten and Ebates review. Don’t Listen To Predictions The reality, of course, is that nobody really goes out and makes investment decisions or trades based upon some analyst at Dewey, Cheatum, and Howe calling a market top in Spring 2020. In the end, such predictions are really about media …

Wild Wall Streets Computer Trading

December 13, 2018 by Finance Gourmet

In the past few days, the stock markets have whipsawed up and down by as much as 800 points, sometimes during the same day! It can be hard to put a finger on what is driving the stock market when the behavior seems so irrational, but the reality is actually pretty easy to understand. The computer programs have been tightened, and they keep firing off, sometimes together, sometimes opposed, and each movement they create triggers another program, which triggers another program, and so on. Program Trading Once upon a time, computer trading was nothing more that the pre-placed buy and sell orders entered by traders. A stop order to sell if the price dropped below a certain amount. A buy order if the price trended up. Those trades have been replaced by more sophisticated programs run by everyone from big Wall Street banks and brokers, to hedge funds, to so-called quant mutual funds. These programs fire off hundreds, or even thousands of orders in response to pre-defined market triggers. Is there a Credit Karma scam? Get the markets leaning too far, and they start kicking in, often triggering other programs in the process. The result is seemingly bizarre trading patterns, …

Market Falls, But… No Panic… yet?

October 12, 2018 by Finance Gourmet

So, interesting phenomenon happening in the stock market these last few days with the S&P 500 dropping over 5% (around 1,400 points) and even dipping below its 200-day moving average. In the right circumstances, this might be the trigger of a full-on rout in the stock markets. Here is what is missing though: panic. Markets Down – Does Anyone Care? I’ve been subtly (and not so subtly) hinting for about a year now that I think the Federal Reserve is too set in stone on its course to raise interest rates in the face of little to no inflationary pressure. To me, this recovery, as long as it is, doesn’t seem that strong. As such, one rate hike too many, could spell disaster. With this week’s market reacting poorly to rising interest rates in the bond markets, I was dusting off my “I Told You So,” posts. But, it looks like I’ll have to wait a bit longer. My Digit reviews. Despite the fairly big numbers in the Wall Street sell off as late, there isn’t much fear associated with it. When it comes to the economy, nothing matters more than how people FEEL about it. That’s why they try …

Stocks Have Hard Day – Just Volatility, or the Recession Knocking?

October 4, 2018 by Finance Gourmet

Stocks had a pretty big selloff today in response to a big drop in the bond markets. For those of you keeping score (the baseball kind, not just the points scored), here is the way the game looks so far. Check out my review of Credit Karma. US economy is still expanding, making it one of the longest economic expansions The economy itself is cyclical. It ALWAYS goes up AND down. So, if it has been going up for a very long time, sooner or later, there will need to be a correction, or recession. How hard the recession ends up being is a function of how it hits. A “pop” leads to a hard (potentially shorter) recession. A “soft landing” means markets can regroup and reprice (usually with a lot of sideways movement) without shocking the system. The Fed keeps raising interest rates because… well, because they want to be “hawks” and not “doves” and just for the barest of moments, the supposed “target” of 2% inflation was touched, so here comes the Fed. The Fed not only keeps raising interest rates, it keeps saying it is going to raise interest rates more. One more hike this year, in …

Are These The Tariffs You’re Looking For?

September 24, 2018September 24, 2018 by Finance Gourmet

OK, so that isn’t a very search engine friendly title for this article, and I don’t really care. The tariffs in Trump’s trade war are starting to make real impacts on certain Americans, and the rest of us may start feeling the effects soon. The most noticeable, immediate impact, is that after a decade as an experienced, professional freelance financial writer, it is now necessary for me to be able to spell the word ‘tariff,’ which up until now never really came up except in examples and edge cases. Generally speaking, tariffs (one r, two f-s) have never been the kind of thing that impacted the middle of Main Street America. Now, I guess we are going big, or going home. In a lot of cases, Trump is shutting the barn door after the horse got out. There used to be real, U.S. manufacturers of solar panels, for example. Not anymore. The companies getting “protection” from Trump’s solar panel tariffs (one r, two f-s) are American, only in the legal sense of subsidies and corporations. In other cases, maybe something like the steel tariffs could save the few remaining stell companies and mills. The second big impact is now dropping …

No-Brainer High Risk Apple Trade Coming Up

September 7, 2018August 30, 2018 by Finance Gourmet

Apple has announced an event on September 12. Traditionally, Apple announces new iPhones and other “gadgets” in September, and expectations are high. So, what is an investor to do? If you are a long-term investor, nothing. Absolutely nothing. The event will generate some noise in Apple’s stock price, but the actual effects will take place over the months and years as Apple executes on its strategy, and how well the new phones are received. Short-Term Apple Trade What about a short-term investor looking for a little trade on Apple’s big event? In that case, it’s time to look into options and start pricing volatility plays. No matter what Apple announces there will be a reaction. In fact, there is a very good chance that there will be an OVER-reaction. That reaction will show up in a quick rising, or falling stock price. Check out our Zelle review. Now, if you don’t understand options, and don’t already have an options enabled account, this move is not for you, but if you’ve been to this rodeo once or twice before, there is money to be made here in a good volatility trade, coupled with the usual leverage of stock options. Buy Apple …

What Is After Hours Trading

July 25, 2018 by Finance Gourmet

Facebook reported some garish earnings guidance after the market closed today and the reaction was pretty big. In fact, it was so big, that news outlets and other investment analysts started publishing stories about how far down Facebook stock was trading “after hours.” When this happens, people have questions, mostly, What is After Hours Trading. After Hours Markets Although it never really matters to most people, the reality is that isn’t just one stock market. There are actually several different exchanges. A couple of decades ago, accessing these other exchanges wasn’t really the kind of thing that your average trader had much ability to do. Of course, times change. These days, with the advent of electronic trading, and online brokerages, it’s actually pretty easy to access the other exchanges, even if you don’t know you are doing it. After the standard trading markets — NYSE, NASDAQ, and AMEX – close at 4:00 PM Eastern, those other markets fire up offering After Hours Trading, sometimes referred to as Extended Hours trading. Most major brokerages offer their clients the ability to access those extra trading hours, although you usually have to sign some forms saying that you understand the risks. Basically, the …

Stock Market Rising More

October 24, 2017 by Finance Gourmet

Anyone out there with their “the stock market is doomed” predictions acknowledging how much money they would have cost you if you had listened to them and gotten out of the markets in the last several months, or even the last year or two? No? Didn’t think so. It looks like the doomsdayers will have to wait a little bit longer as U.S. companies such as Caterpillar and 3M both reported pretty solid earnings this week driving up the stock market further. It’s a little hard to claim that there is no basis for increasing stock prices when stocks are actually doing well. Give it a week or two. Once earnings season has passed they’ll be back to tell you about how overbought, overvalued, and over-hyped the market is. How Long Will Stocks Keep Rising I don’t know how much longer the stock market will keep going up, and neither does anyone else. That’s why money mangers are always careful to compare themselves to the stock market, and not to their own predictions or track record of being right. Imagine how much more responsible financial analysis might be if you had to publish not only your trading record versus a …

Worried About Another Black Monday?

October 18, 2017 by Finance Gourmet

30 years ago, the stock market “crashed” on a single day. It was called Black Monday. At the time, I was in high school. I put aside the newspaper from that day thinking it would be a major collectors item in years to come. It hasn’t, but not because it wasn’t a big event. Black Monday was the name given to the biggest one day drop in the stock market. On October 19, 1987, the Dow Jones Industrial Average plunged 22.6% in one day. Back then, the Dow was still everything. The NASDAQ was the stock market where also-ran stocks that couldn’t qualify for the NYSE traded. The S&P 500 was known to savvy investors, but your average American still didn’t know much about the stock market beyond what showed up in 45 seconds on the nightly newscast. In fact, many of them didn’t own any stocks, unless they had a 401k account at work. Online trading was still in the future, and discount brokers took orders on the telephone. Unlike previous crashes, Black Monday did not start a panic. It did not lead to a depression. The drop was serious, and real. For the rest of 1987, the market …

Apple Watch Overreaction Buying Opportunity?

September 20, 2017 by Finance Gourmet

I don’t like giving short-term stock trading advice, because all of the wrong people end up taking it. Let’s start from the beginning. If you don’t have $100,000 of investable assets in a trading account (not counting 401k, IRA, or other long-term savings accounts), you have no business buying individual stocks of any kind. The ability to make a profit with small stock buys is severely limited. Buy Apple Stock on Watch News Apple recently announced the Apple Watch 3. The big deal for the Apple Watch 3 is that it can connect directly to cellular networks on its own without you having to have an iPhone to connect it to. This is another step in the direction of the watch itself replacing your phone, but for now, it’s mostly a novelty that appeals to Apple technology enthusiasts. Recent reviews have indicated that there are some issues with the Apple Watch connectivity. As a result, Apple stock is down over 2% today. This is a major overreaction, and a buying opportunity if you are looking to invest in Apple shares. The problem, is that the watch connects to Wi-Fi networks that do not have internet connectivity. This is the communication …