Stock Market Up to Start Week

And this week (shakes magic-8 ball) the stock market will start up! The financial news sites are all going with: because oil prices are rising. I keep telling myself I won’t write any more posts about the stock market volatility that’s going on right now, but it’s hard not to when there are so many stories out there telling you why now is the time to buy, or now is the time to sell, or how there is a recession coming, or how there isn’t, and, “Hey, squirrel! Let’s sell and buy!” Today. the U.S. stock market happens to be up. The Dow is up over 200 points, or 1.38 percent. It is still down for the year, but don’t look now, another week or two like this, and we’ll be right back where we started in January. What do they say, “A lot of sound a fury signifying nothing?” As always, daily volatility tends to be a function of computer trading algorithms rather than actual investor sentiment. The truth is that things are still dicey. The Fed doesn’t know if it should or should not raise interest rates again… sooner or later…. For extra fun, the inflation numbers look …

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What Happens When My Stock Goes Down?

waterfall falling stock price

Yesterday I wrote about how Apple stock could be considered a dividend stock by some investors. Later that day, after the stock markets closed, Apple reported its first quarter results. (Apple, like many companies uses a fiscal year, instead of a calendar year. The first quarter for Apple runs from October to December.) The results were met with disappointment by the markets and the stock is down this morning. This triggered an email from someone asking if Apple was now a bad stock to own or buy, and that felt like the beginnings of an article I’ve been meaning to write for a while. Remember you should not be buying individual stocks until your retirement plan, college plans, and savings plans are fully funded and on track. What Happens When a Stock Price Falls? One of the most difficult things for non-professional finance people to grasp is the difference between actual losses and paper losses. An example can be helpful. Apple stock was trading at about $100 per share yesterday when I published the post about the dividend yield moving past the psychological 2 percent dividend yield mark. Although I didn’t buy any stock on that day, let’s pretend I did. …

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Stock Market Reality Check and When To Panic

10 years invested in SP500

I’ve written a few articles recently about the start of the year stock market freak out and about not panicking when the stock market makes sudden moves. In response I’ve heard from people about if there ever is a time to panic, and if there isn’t, if there is ever a right time to sell. The problem is that there is some knowledge missing from these questions. So, here is a reality check on the current stock market situation, and some advice on when to panic and when to sell your stocks. Long-Term Diversified Portfolio Let’s start from the beginning. There are a lot of different kinds of investing. When people forget this fact, it often causes them to make incorrect decisions. Remember, every decision you make should be consistent with your investing strategy and financial plan. So, for those of you investing for the long-term, particularly for retirement, with a decade or more to go, your reactions should be very different from someone who is investing for other reasons, or for a shorter time frame. As a long-term retirement investor, your strategy should be to construct a well diversified portfolio that matches your return needs with your risk tolerance. …

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Market Volatility Continues as Beginning of 2016

Market Volatility Continues as Beginning of 2016 1

I’ve written a few articles now about the volatility in the U.S. stock market, especially as it pertains to reacting to China’s stock market (and the time before that too). A few years ago, the trouble was Greece, if you can remember that far back. Sometimes, it seems like last month is ancient history to market watchers. I’ve also written about how overreacting to bad news isn’t wise, but, what is really going on with the stock market, and what should real investors think? America vs The World Stock Market First, it is important to notice the difference between the American stock market reacting to news about the U.S. and the American economy, and reacting to the news and stock markets of other economies. While world economies are more intertwined than ever, the circumstances in China are not the same as they are here. While the Chinese economy is stuck in a tricky place thanks to ongoing government intervention, and rising debt loads, the U.S. economy actually could probably use a bit of government help. The markets don’t like uncertainty, though, and a lot of what you are seeing in the stock market today, and other days, is nothing more than …

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Personal Finance Index Card Advice

Back in 2013 on a show, a professor named Harold Pollack made the suggestion that everything the average person actually needed to know about personal finance could fit on an index card. He “proved” his theory by handwriting a list of personal financial advice on an index card, which then made the internet rounds. Now, he’s back with a co-author, and a $25, 256-page book called The Index Card. Wow. Could this be the most cynical book ever written?   Free Financial Advice and Reality It always seems that when finance experts are talking about OTHER finance experts, that THOSE guys are over-priced crooks who you don’t need. THEY are just out to take your hard earned money. THEY don’t want you to know that finance is actually super easy and that you don’t need THEM. Funny, how that always changes dramatically when the opportunity for money or notary for their own self comes up. Back when I was a professional financial advisor, Susie Orman would stand up in front of as many people as she possibly could and say that all financial planners and advisors were crooks and you knew it because we took money from companies that offer financial products …

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China Stock Market Panic – Take 2

china crash number 2

The stock market in China is in a free fall. Everyone panic! Wait. This seems familiar. Maybe, it’s because I wrote about this same thing just a few months ago during the August Chinese stock market crash. History. Learn. Repeat. Mistakes. Bad News the U.S. Economy I wrote a nice well-reasoned article recently about how you shouldn’t let bad news force you into making rash investment decisions. Here is another way to look at it courtesy of this repeat bit of stock market news. This time we have a nice little confluence of factors. There is, of course, the plunging China stock market, but this time around we have a little extra fear in the form of a nuclear test that North Korea claims is a hydrogen bomb test. (Last time, it was Middle East instability.) Well, that doesn’t sound fun? As if that weren’t enough, oil prices are falling again, and for some parts of the stock market, that’s bad. But, should we panic? George Soros isn’t helping. He’s in the news comparing today to 2008, you know when major U.S. banking institutions were failing and the Fed had to rush in to keep the whole American economy from seizing …

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New Year Finance Checklist

annual personal finance checklist

It’s a new year. Contrary to popular opinion, for the most part, when it comes to money, finances, banking and investing, it doesn’t really matter if the year is new or not. That being said, plenty of people take the opportunity of a fresh calendar to take a fresh look at things like personal finance and their financial plans. So, here is a checklist of things to start thinking about to make sure you personal finances are lined up for 2016. 2016 Personal Finance Checklist Don’t get overwhelmed. Not all of this stuff needs to be done at once. Put a section on your calendar each week or two, and by the end of the first quarter, your finances will be reviewed, tuned-up, and ready for the year ahead. Banking Checklist Review your checking account statements and make sure your bank isn’t charging you fees just for having a checking or savings account. If you are paying monthly fees, or minimum balance fees, find a new account. Check with your current bank first, you might just be signed up for the wrong account. Remember, at today’s interest rates, there is no way having a higher rate compensates for having to …

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Money Investing and Personal Finance End of Year

end of year december finance money

Here comes the end of 2015, are you ready? Are your finances and investments ready? On the one hand, the end of the year means absolutely nothing to your money. Those twenties in your wallet don’t care what year it is, and your bank accounts don’t either. The stock market goes up and down before December 31st, just like it will after January 1st. That being said, there are some end of year tax issues to be aware of, as well as some smart money moves to make before the end of the year. What To Do With Money Before Year Ends Step One: Don’t Panic. Seriously. Too many people get all wrapped up in the end of the year and the start of a new year. I think that some of that comes from the added stress of the holidays, or the vacuum left behind when they end. The reality is that you and your money are probably fine, even if you don’t do anything at all before the year ends. Yes, tax deductions matter, but probably not as much as you might think. And, yes, there are deadlines, but many of them may not apply to you. With that …

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Lower Investment Costs on ETFs

There are many different ways to successfully invest for the long-term. One such strategy is indexing. The idea of index investing is that over time very few, or maybe even none, of the various mutual funds out there, nor any portfolio you make yourself, beats the returns of the index anyways, especially after expenses. Therefore, you may as well just invest in the indexes themselves. Of course, there is no way to directly invest in an index. To do so, you basically have two choices, index funds, or index-based Exchange Traded Funds, or ETFs. (Theoretically, with enough time and money, you could create your own portfolio to mimic an index, but this is often impractical.) When doing index investing, it is important to keep the expenses, or fees, of your investments as low as possible. After all, you aren’t paying for research or in-depth analysis, since the indexes already exist. Index Investing and Expenses Exchange Traded Funds, trade on the stock exchange, just like their name suggests. That means you buy them just like you do a stock, by putting in an order. For most investors, that purchase (and any subsequent sales) involves a commission, that’s part of your expenses. The …

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Square IPO Not Worth $6 Billion?

square ipo logo

Sometimes, the “I told you so,” moments just take too long to happen. They do, eventually, but by then, either people don’t remember, or they aren’t around any longer. I still remember people refusing to sell the Qwest stock in their 401k in order to diversify because it was, “the best investment I have,” and then seeing the stomach churning drop that must have wiped out 50 percent or more of their retirement money. Then, of course, were all the people sitting smugly across from me saying that “real estate never really goes down,” as they talked about pooling money with family to buy a house in Phoenix. Square Not Worth $6 Billion in IPO? For years, people have been saying that the venture capital market and the various valuations given to technology companies before they go public are maybe a bit unrealistic. Of course, something always seems to come along and save the two Simpson children, as they say. (Well… as I say, anyway.) Tumblr was reportedly running out of money fast, but Yahoo swooped in and paid them a billion dollars anyway. Instagram got a billion from Facebook. And, so on. Today, maybe, indicates the first I told …

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