- - Page 7 of 15 The Finance Gourmet

Tesla Does Not Compete With Chevy and Nissan

August 9, 2017 by Finance Gourmet

Here, they come. It looks like the Nissan Leaf will be cheaper than a Tesla, so you know what that means. More articles where so-called analysts decry the prospects for the Tesla Model 3, because Chevy Bolt, and now Nissan, have cheaper electric cars available before the Model 3. This is dumb. Comparing Tesla Model 3 to Chevy Bolt is dumb. Comparing Tesla Model 3 to Nissan Leaf is dumb. Worrying about Tesla stock because less desired offerings are coming out with still less desired new models is dumb. (If you want to worry about Tesla stock, worry about the fact that they are always slower and later than they say. — Although I wouldn’t sell my stock…) The Spec Sheet Falsity Once upon a time, Consumer Reports poorly reviewed the Apple iPad. The reason? It compared specification sheets with other tablets, and the iPad had lower specs. Of course, this completely and utterly missed the point. Turns out that Consumer Reports always does this. I found out the hard way when we bought one of their “best buy” stoves only to find out that despite the great temperature readings they got on their laser thermometers, the flame pattern was …

Why You Shouldn’t Worry About a Market Top

July 24, 2017 by Finance Gourmet

Worried about whether or not the market is overvalued? Did the markets set ANOTHER record? You aren’t alone. Seemingly every day, a major financial website or magazine publishes an article about how the stock market is overvalued, how this is a top, and that you should feel very, very scared. But, should you even bother worrying about a market top? Not if you aren’t talking about short-term investments. If you are talking about a 401k , an IRA, or any other form of long-term investing, you should ignore all the market top talk. What To Do For a Market Top The biggest problem with a market top is knowing WHEN it is going to happen. Remember, the stock market does not move based upon absolute truth. Rather, the stock market is a popularity contest where people vote for companies, or their shares, by buying them, and vote against companies, or their shares, by selling them. It is driven entirely by people (and computer programs made to anticipate people’s reactions, but that is another article). What that means, is even if the market really is truly overvalued, right now, today, it still does not mean that the sell off will begin …

Betterment IPO a Distant Future?

August 18, 2021July 21, 2017 by Finance Gourmet

Betterment, one of the robo-advisor firms, raised an additional $70 million in financing this month (July 2017), according to Bloomberg and others. This values the company at $800 million, although such valuations on pre-market companies are largely meaningless. (Mental note: Write article about the so-called valuations of pre-exit startups.) Is this additional Betterment investment a good idea? It all depends on if they can shove a Betterment IPO down unsavvy investor throats. Check out how Betterment works at this Betterment review. According the article, the company has nearly $10 billion under management, which begs the question why they need to raise more money. Update: There is a new CEO. Is the new CEO’s purpose to get the company to an IPO? Check out my Digit app review. A money management company with $10 billion under management should be profitable. The need to raise another $70 million suggests the company is not profitable, and that begs the second question. At what level CAN the company be profitable? An can a Betterment IPO happen fast enough? If you’re interested in Betterment vs Wealthfront vs Robinhood vs Acorns vs Stash I have that here. Can Stand Alone Robo-Advisors Survive? Obviously, as an add-on …

Another Stock Market Record

July 12, 2017 by Finance Gourmet

For the past year (and longer) we’ve been reading article after article about how the stock market is set to implode, and yet, here we are… another intra-day record high for the Dow Jones Industrial Index. The Market Will Go Down… Eventually The truth is that the stock market will go down sooner or later. It always does. And, when it does, many of the people writing these now year-old doomsday articles will attempt to claim credit for “predicting” the market crash. (Although, there may not be a crash. A simple months-long 5% correction would take care of a lot of the market’s pricing issues.) What they won’t do is tell you how much money they would have cost you if you had listened to them while the run up continued. Consider this: The Dow is up over 17% for the 1-year period. In other words, if you had gotten out when last year’s alarm bells started ringing, you would have missed a 17% increase in your investments. That 17% increase would have a very large cushioning effect on any sort of coming 10% correction, or even a 20% crash. In other words, if you had been listening to these …

What Interest Rate Hikes Mean for Young People

June 20, 2017 by Finance Gourmet

I got an email excitedly saying that I should be explaining how interest rate increases will affected younger investors and the personal finances of young people. I didn’t really think that was necessary, but it keeps popping up elsewhere with even more breathless writing copy, so it’s time for a real recipe for Federal Reserve interest rate hikes. Interest Rates and Young People Let’s start from the beginning. Neither interest rates, nor money, nor investments, care how old you are. It all works the same for every age. That being said, it is true that interest rates have been so low, for so long, that anyone under 35 probably has never experienced higher interest rates. So, let’s go over what higher rates are like. History of Interest Rates First, remember that while the Fed has raised interest rates several times since December 2016, they have all been small 0.25% interest rate hikes. The current rate is 1.25% (technically, the Fed sets a range of 1.0% to 1.25%, but for graphing purposes, you’ll see 1.25%.) This is not remotely “high.” In the 1980s, the Fed Funds rate was an astounding 18% to 20%, as they tried to reign in inflation, and …

Was Buying Jet.com a Waste of Money?

May 18, 2017 by Finance Gourmet

Walmart bought Jet.com earlier this year for over $3 BILLION. If you questioned the wisdom of that purchase then, you’re going to love today’s news. It seems that there was a 63 percent increase in online sales during the most recent quarter. That’s good. Even better, most of that increase came from shopping at the flagship site Walmart.com. That’s also good. It seems that the primary driver to this increase was free two-day shipping. That’s great. Check out the Digit review. Free Shipping Equals Higher Online Sales at Walmart You see, all it took to turn Walmart into a bonafide Amazon competitor was to match the latter’s beloved shipping terms. There was no need to panic. All Walmart had to do was take the same website it already had, and offer better shipping terms than it was. There was no need to do anything rash like run out and buy some online shopping company just so that you could say to investors that you were doing SOMETHING. Walmart chief executive, Goug McMillion, even said, “The acquisitions have received a lot of attention, but our plan in ecommerce is not to buy our way to success.” WHAT!?!? Then what in the world did …

Snap Inc. the Snapchat Company Sued

May 16, 2017 by Finance Gourmet

It seems that some people are having some buyers remorse after getting in on the Snap Inc., the Snapchat company after the stock failed to maintain its manufactured IPO bump. There is now a class-action lawsuit filed against Snap. If only someone could have seen that a money burning company like Snap going IPO on the promise that more users would someone end the money burning with greater revenues but no extra expenses might not have been the best investment for anyone looking past the, “Hey my kid uses that!” buzz. Oh wait… I might have said something like that. Will Snap Lawsuit Work Against Snapchat Company? Anyway, don’t get your hopes up. This whole thing rests on a former employee stating that Snap overestimated user numbers. The defenses against the suit are both easy and numerous. The company SAID in its pre-IPO docs that the user numbers were not precise and that estimating any number at all was “difficult.” – In other words, even if that employee saw one number, and we went with another number, we already disclosed that. Even if the number was different, the company can argue it isn’t material, so long as all the rest …

Oil Drops Below $50 Again – Now What?

April 21, 2017 by Finance Gourmet

Not long ago, I posted about how oil prices would never see anything near $100 a barrel again, because as soon as prices started climbing above $50 or $60, U.S. producers would crank up previously idled oil fields, and that is just what happened. With OPEC’s oil production cut earlier this year, prices indeed did start rising, and U.S. producers turned the pumps back on. Prices have made it back up in to the fifties. Today, however, prices slipped back below $50 per barrel ahead of a report on U.S. oil rig count that most analysts predict will show even more U.S. production coming online. Couple that with uncertainty about whether OPEC — and Russia — will extend their supply cuts, and you have investors nervous that prices have nowhere to go but down. Oil Prices and U.S. Stock Prices The reality is that, for America, $50 per barrel is a pretty happy medium spot. At $50 per barrel, oil value is high enough for most U.S. producers to make a profit, and for banks to continue feeling good about credit backed by oil reserves. Together, this keeps the stocks of S&P 500 companies like Exxon and Shell and so …

Fed Raises Rates – More Coming

March 16, 2017March 15, 2017 by Finance Gourmet

The Federal Reserve raised interest rates one-quarter of a point, or 0.25%, in a widely expected move. The benchmark rate is now technically the range between 0.75 percent and 1.0 percent, although most people refer to this simply as 0.75%. As pretty much everyone predicted, the Fed raised interest rates at its March meeting. This is the second interest rate hike in just three months, and the third one overall since the Great Recession. Fed Chairwoman Janet Yellen said, “The simple message is, the economy is doing well.” What Happens Next? While some indicators are showing signs of inflation, there is also an increasing concern that the economy isn’t as robust as some might think. Things certainly look good right now, but few analysts look as this economy as a powerful train moving forward, so much as a boat drifting in the right direction and easily pushed off course. As a result, the guidance from the Fed continues to be for three total interest hikes in 2017, meaning that currently they expect two more hikes between now and December. Just when those hikes will come depends a great deal on how the economy fares. Another few months of good job …

Is Snap a Good Investment?

March 7, 2017March 2, 2017 by Finance Gourmet

Today was the IPO for Snap, Inc., the company that makes Snapchat. As one of those people who doesn’t “get” Snapchat I won’t be analyzing the product or what makes it special. Instead, I’m going to take a quick look at the reality of the financials and let you figure those other parts out for yourself. Snap IPO All IPOs are fairly ridiculous when it comes to pricing, subscribing, and issuing shares. They get doubly so when the company going public is famous enough to attract the type of people who don’t usually buy IPO shares, and in fact, those that actually have no idea how it is done. In these cases, one often sees a huge “pop” in the stock price. Keep in mind that as an individual investor without an established relationship with one of the companies underwriting the IPO you cannot get the IPO price at all. Instead, you could theoretically get the “open” price. So, here is how it works. Established customers got the opportunity to buy into SNAP for the IPO price of $17 per share. Regular investors got their first chance to buy at the open price of $23.71. The stock is now (around …